TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3a55…394e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
276
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$60,748.61
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,805.84
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48,278.38
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,987.68
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,213.02
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,696.44
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.07
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,766Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+65.8%+$4,453.1
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31,779Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+71.7%+$22,780.2
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34,999.76
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,543.58
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13,600
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11,800
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$514.39
Will Damian Lillard win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+233.7%+$3,501.86
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,545.02
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$2,660
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,349.99
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,080Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+145.1%+$5,920
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,800
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$376.89
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+295.5%+$5,229.99
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,758Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$2,749.77
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$476.55
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6639.4%26 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,277.19
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12,275.44
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$77.84
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+67.6%+$6,049.96
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,602Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,501.03
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$4,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,568.4
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,250
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,575Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$5,370.76
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,990Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+80.4%+$4,009.87
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$347.37
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,841Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+68.6%+$2,636.21
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+316.7%+$3,800
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,010.39
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,771.02
Will Raheem Morris be the next NFL Head Coach fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.8%+$35.7
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$370.27
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18,096.94
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,300
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,841.4
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,872.31
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,832Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,498.65
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,635
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,877.71
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST5653.6%30 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$898.55
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,400
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10,640
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Bunes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$696.39
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,145.41
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+248.8%+$10,699.98
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Uros Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$3,249.92
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,100
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$5,200
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Josiah Harrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,441
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$10.3
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Idiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,990Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$3,010
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Punahele Soriano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,942.22
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Basharat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,820
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,939.92
UFC Fight Night: Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Morono · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$295.09
UFC Fight Night: Javid Basharat vs. Gianni Vazquez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Vazquez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$362.89
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,548Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+99.8%+$1,544.54
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$3,780
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,692.73
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,699.96
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Ofli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,323Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+137.2%+$4,557.66
UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)backed Lui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+257.1%+$5,040
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+134.2%+$2,880.71
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya 2: Alina Charaeva vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$950.27
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,571.78
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublikbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$5,801.21
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$8,134.77
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11,675Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$24,809.81
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.72
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,965.81
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$239.6
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,248.21
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+673.2%+$2,168.23
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,600
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,884.29
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+109.1%+$2,614.12
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$377.05
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$404.42
Australian Open Men's: Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,032.41
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$83.02
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+38.9%+$56.99
ATP Finals: Alcaraz vs. Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$206.14
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$228.44
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,690
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,689Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+160.3%+$4,311.12
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,012.91
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,993.3
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$5,100
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise State: O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100%+$2,500
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$48.89
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$3,216.68
The CFP Favorites Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$1,420
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$7,559Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+556.7%+$42,084.18
Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$45
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Beterbiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$3,830.44
Will Oleksandr Usyk KO Tyson Fury?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,738Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+30.9%+$1,461.98
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14,419Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+47.6%+$6,859.41
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,078Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+26.5%+$1,611.7
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$163.71
Will Canelo win by KO/TKO Berlanga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,999.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$4,700
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+51.5%+$680
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+40.2%+$896.59
Will Ding Liren win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,681Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+45.9%+$771.7
Will Game 7 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+61.1%+$94.75
Will game 5 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+49.3%+$136.32
Will Ding Liren win game 5 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$36.1
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2024 WR Chess Masters Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,920.69
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,048Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+54.4%+$2,202.1
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-4.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,910
Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,982.22
Hofstra vs. William & Marybacked Hofstra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$198
All 5 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,847.62
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,346.32
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,007.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57,829.85
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,269.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+744.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+744.2%+$252.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio beat Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+203%+$33.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Iraq before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+83.4%+$702.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$1,672.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+38.7%+$9.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+25.6%+$344.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$210.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,088.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$7,208.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.