NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa40d206194c1ce5007d664a0be65336a9591c96516cef47be05f6041e683ed0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,595,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,053,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,595,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Pistons | 57c | 358,789$203,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,777.92 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Hornets | 43c | 348,837$150,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,999.78 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 58c | 291,755$168,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,252.56 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Hornets | 44c | 250,000$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,999.98 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 43c | 173,593$74,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,308.92 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 1c | 138,924$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.19 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hornets | 44c | 115,000$50,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,600 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 58c | 98,515$57,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,109.21 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…f2f9backed Hornets | 45c | 80,300$36,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,135 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5cebbacked Pistons | 55c | 80,300$44,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,135 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Hornets | 49c | 80,000$39,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Pistons | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 57c | 77,941$44,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,135.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 57c | 72,445$41,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,151.35 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 41c | 59,374$24,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,306.04 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…6cf0backed Hornets | 43c | 52,747$22,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,681.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets | 42c | 50,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,799.9 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hornets | 43c | 45,789$19,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,689.38 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 58c | 42,196$24,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,907.45 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets | 41c | 40,555$16,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,777.39 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Pistons | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,199.79 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Hornets | 42c | 33,595$14,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,278.05 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Pistons | 57c | 32,904$18,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,148.51 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 45c | 31,698$14,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,206.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Pistons | 69c | 31,046$21,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,774.97 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Hornets | 0c | 30,024$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Pistons | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,299.99 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Pistons | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,899.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Hornets | 44c | 27,328$11,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,959.32 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 26c | 27,261$7,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,006.15 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets | 43c | 26,196$11,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,265.31 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Hornets | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 41c | 25,000$10,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,374.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets | 13c | 24,350$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.29 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Hornets | 41c | 24,171$10,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,030.55 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 23c | 24,029$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 43c | 22,223$9,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,508.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets | 41c | 21,170$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.59 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 24c | 20,511$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Hornets | 42c | 20,009$8,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,403.97 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Hornets | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.98 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.97 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 56c | 16,000$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.96 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 57c | 15,943$9,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,832.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…6cadbacked Hornets | 37c | 15,533$5,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Pistons | 57c | 15,072$8,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.11 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Pistons | 57c | 15,001$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.99 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hornets | 10c | 14,985$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.58 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Pistons | 52c | 14,420$7,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,921.59 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…55d3backed Pistons | 63c | 12,588$7,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets | 41c | 12,500$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hornets | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.82 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Pistons | 58c | 11,473$6,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,818.75 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 25c | 10,694$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.41 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pistons | 56c | 10,530$5,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…4c2ebacked Pistons | 59c | 10,260$6,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.6 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 4c | 10,236$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.38 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pistons | 60c | 10,030$6,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…1d24backed Hornets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…1e89backed Hornets | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae55…0f4bbacked Pistons | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hornets | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Pistons | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.96 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Hornets | 13c | 9,998$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.74 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 56c | 9,425$5,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.12 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Pistons | 73c | 9,406$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.5 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Pistons | 76c | 9,363$7,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.17 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Hornets | 43c | 9,147$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.04 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Hornets | 44c | 9,091$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Pistons | 58c | 8,700$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Hornets | 42c | 8,700$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Hornets | 41c | 8,695$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.94 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hornets | 41c | 8,388$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.08 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Hornets | 29c | 8,122$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.79 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Pistons | 59c | 8,000$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Pistons | 58c | 7,501$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.41 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Pistons | 70c | 7,500$5,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.79 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pistons | 52c | 7,472$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.09 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Pistons | 58c | 7,408$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.03 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…36b9backed Hornets | 51c | 7,400$3,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,773.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Pistons | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Hornets | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Pistons | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Hornets | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…e9d1backed Pistons | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…1493backed Hornets | 11c | 6,929$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.25 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hornets | 43c | 6,778$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.4 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b227backed Hornets | 49c | 6,688$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Pistons | 60c | 6,578$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.38 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hornets | 9c | 6,430$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.88 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hornets | 8c | 6,420$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.31 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Pistons | 59c | 6,400$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Hornets | 41c | 6,400$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.97 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Hornets | 42c | 6,374$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.17 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pistons | 52c | 6,266$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.1 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Pistons | 58c | 6,000$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.98 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Hornets | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.9 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.