TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x62ba…ef56backed Over49c20,370$9,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,981.294358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c13,066$6,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,309.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under51c8,824$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,323.5316640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c4,730$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Under50c2,680$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.852161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c1,949$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c1,721$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.441,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over50c1,680$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84048352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ebd…c5c8backed Under61c1,645$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c1,508$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under50c1,406$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7034553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c1,329$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,209$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.443,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,090$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.523,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over51c917.91$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1351146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c886.92$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.675,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c518.63$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.683,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24518747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over70c400$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28122170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c379.96$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.982,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed5e…8da1backed Over48c370$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over50c358$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17913464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under51c355.99$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4428751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under51c329.2$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.347247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over48c306.12$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.942,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14725559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…8afbbacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c294.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5478652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Under20c289.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+236.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under32c260.95$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.153,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Under51c247.06$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.069348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over50c236.72$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3621357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c200.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10316740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c192.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8462539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Over51c144.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.476347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c131.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Under51c127.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.456258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over55c122.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over49c108.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1866646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under35c104.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.252,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under54c102.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.373,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c102.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under49c100.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3553149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948d…d6a8backed Over53c96.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over53c64.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0828856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e12…9ba1backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d65…c8cebacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.91464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe940…b9a6backed Over50c57.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c52.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c45.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4632450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over52c42.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under51c41.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1641649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8220241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x712c…717bbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-52.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under50c39.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7338347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb173…dc40backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under27c38.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0823047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over42c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.661,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1848740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.151,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8019…9ba0backed Over43c31.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+238.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over65c30.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under52c30.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Under50c30.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2616036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c30.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.662,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x285d…f500backed Under54c29.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.572832.1%9 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-50.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under50c28.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2150841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Over49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.253330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under51c23.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3616052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeea…0c83backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8615…ada0backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Over64c17.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5612737%47 W · 80 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.