TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee57…b2b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Olympics at 32.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT8535.3%30 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+48%+$11.08
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.58
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$83.7
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+628.7%+$80.53
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$25.87
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.66
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.92
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.77
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$21.38
Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.47
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.93
Will JD Gaming win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.35
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+82%+$159.26
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.83
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+987.5%+$726.43
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.89
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST3330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$122.5
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Spurs vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+95.9%+$277.28
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$503.5
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$130
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$124
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$238.5
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$520.3
Spread: Nets (-4.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$76.31
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$237.44
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$264.6
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$242.49
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$249.8
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100.8%+$356.18
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$251.02
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$301.9
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120.56
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51.36
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$138.18
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37%+$81
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+330%+$731.24
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$43.2
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.94
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.4
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.08
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$102.36
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.27
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.86
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$22.39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.6
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.07
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+166.4%+$80.07
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.36
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.01
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$891.09
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$122.13
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-5.1wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Logino (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35.88
Will Henry Sildaru (EST) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$287.65
Will Birk Irving (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Luke Harrold (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$63.5
Will Ben Harrington (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.65
Will Brendan Mackay (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$71.1
Will Dylan Marineau (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$58.69
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$155.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+430.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+430.6%+$56.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37.6%+$398.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$199.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.