NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273fcd3ae17ac161fabc0b006cc8fe2e695887911e01c970aa08bf4954a523dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Lakers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $975,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $985,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $975,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 50c | 355,392$177,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,696 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lakers | 50c | 353,786$176,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,892.92 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 50c | 277,863$138,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,155.69 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 50c | 65,000$32,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,500 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 50c | 47,669$23,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,709.82 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lakers | 50c | 41,824$21,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,058.05 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Lakers | 50c | 39,370$19,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,685 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lakers | 50c | 24,897$12,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,405.9 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Lakers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Suns | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 51c | 20,000$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1135backed Lakers | 50c | 19,800$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 50c | 17,584$8,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,791.75 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers | 50c | 17,550$8,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,775 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Lakers | 50c | 16,338$8,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,169.07 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65d…1417backed Lakers | 50c | 15,272$7,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,636 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 50c | 14,939$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,469.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0134…12d2backed Lakers | 50c | 14,106$7,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,053 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Lakers | 50c | 13,674$6,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,837 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Lakers | 50c | 11,990$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Lakers | 50c | 10,570$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,285 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Lakers | 50c | 9,800$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Lakers | 50c | 9,408$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Lakers | 50c | 8,600$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Lakers | 50c | 7,778$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Lakers | 50c | 6,072$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.88 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Suns | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Suns | 51c | 5,925$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.49 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 50c | 5,630$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Suns | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Suns | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Suns | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.88 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Suns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Suns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Suns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Lakers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.93 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Suns | 55c | 3,638$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.22 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 49c | 3,601$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.16 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 49c | 3,574$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Suns | 51c | 3,559$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Suns | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Suns | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Suns | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 50c | 2,940$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 54c | 2,588$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.13 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Suns | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 51c | 2,494$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Suns | 51c | 2,490$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.32 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Lakers | 51c | 2,451$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 51c | 2,400$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.81 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Suns | 53c | 2,200$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Lakers | 51c | 2,186$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.22 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Lakers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 57c | 1,904$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 51c | 1,887$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.21 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Suns | 54c | 1,802$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.55 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Lakers | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lakers | 63c | 1,526$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.73 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,496$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,418$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Suns | 39c | 1,143$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.54 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,102$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.84 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 51c | 1,079$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 54c | 990.07$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Suns | 50c | 972.63$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.32 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Lakers | 50c | 952.06$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Suns | 44c | 885.08$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.57 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Suns | 50c | 875$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Lakers | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Lakers | 50c | 784$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Lakers | 39c | 777.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Suns | 47c | 691.12$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -12.5wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 43c | 665.87$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Suns | 55c | 630.56$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.22 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Suns | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f73…bb9ebacked Suns | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Suns | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Lakers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Suns | 56c | 503.57$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…7293backed Lakers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 48c | 475.58$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.27 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 43c | 470.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Suns | 68c | 462.62$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Suns | 51c | 431.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.01 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b61cbacked Lakers | 48c | 408.06$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…fdd0backed Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Suns won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Lakers vs. SunsSuns won
- Lakers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.