NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68783fc3153c2d232ca9d406606665fe061cb4eef98130858d7827309882574b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 5,877$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 4,592$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 13c | 1,693$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 329.12$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 263.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 263.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 25c | 259.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 29c | 238.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Over | 49c | 203$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 19c | 191.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…e6e5backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 49c | 145$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Over | 49c | 140.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 117.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 51c | 116.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 52c | 77.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 24c | 71.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 65.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Over | 18c | 60.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Under | 51c | 47.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Under | 51c | 46.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Under | 51c | 46.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 49c | 26.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Suns won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Lakers vs. SunsSuns won
- Lakers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.