NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28fdcc60f592d92560742a9d43f51c0241402cb5de2ebf9d24468cf6ab3cfe04

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,256 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x201c…58bfbacked Under	50c	10,000$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,949.99	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over	51c	5,294$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,594.12	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	688.92$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.46	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	39c	466.23$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.98	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	49c	429.65$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.71	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	48c	301.41$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.68	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over	52c	290.42$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.42	177	58.2%103 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over	48c	243.99$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.88	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Under	49c	205.7$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.79	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	8c	200$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over	52c	199.61$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.4	539	51.6%278 W · 261 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	50c	176.86$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.43	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over	51c	121.98$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.77	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under	47c	114.89$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5e…d8f4backed Under	73c	100$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	64cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	50c	79.75$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.88	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	181	50.3%91 W · 90 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	47c	67.47$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over	50c	60.35$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec5…9339backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under	48c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	73c	54.79$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	46.16$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.48	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d26…0635backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	47c	34.35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.26	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	47c	33.26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.63	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under	48c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	239	46.4%111 W · 128 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	215	53.5%115 W · 100 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event