NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42026a79c2680280dc9467b56d4d3aa694e9731cebbf664afd2533a804f57e66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Lakers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 46c | 152,962$70,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,599.57 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lakers | 54c | 77,778$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,000.1 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers | 54c | 39,476$21,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,317 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 48c | 21,870$10,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,475.91 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lakers | 54c | 20,566$11,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,146.93 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Lakers | 54c | 15,337$8,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,282 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 49c | 11,025$5,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.78 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 51c | 9,928$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 46c | 9,499$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.76 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 52c | 8,268$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Suns | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Lakers | 55c | 7,284$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.2 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 46c | 6,633$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Suns | 51c | 6,499$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.57 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 52c | 6,415$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 53c | 5,642$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 52c | 5,525$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 52c | 4,673$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lakers | 49c | 4,247$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.03 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Suns | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Suns | 51c | 3,444$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.66 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 54c | 3,356$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.86 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Suns | 47c | 3,340$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.08 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Suns | 48c | 3,209$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.28 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Suns | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Lakers | 55c | 2,751$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.05 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 53c | 2,684$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 45c | 1,765$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,596$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.78 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Lakers | 54c | 1,578$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.09 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Lakers | 56c | 1,070$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.2 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,061$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…447abacked Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 46c | 992.63$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.02 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Lakers | 61c | 978.7$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Lakers | 55c | 945$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 51c | 928.85$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.02 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Suns | 51c | 899.99$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.49 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Lakers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Lakers | 55c | 700$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 54c | 673$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Lakers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Suns | 47c | 600.82$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.43 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Lakers | 56c | 596.43$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Lakers | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Lakers | 54c | 463$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 18c | 408$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Suns | 49c | 400$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 53c | 380.57$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…6a8bbacked Suns | 48c | 357.6$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns | 47c | 338.46$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Lakers | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Lakers | 55c | 318.18$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Lakers | 50c | 311.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns | 45c | 299.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Lakers | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lakers | 50c | 264.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Lakers | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 52c | 232.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Lakers | 54c | 227.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 40c | 222.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7bfabacked Lakers | 46c | 218.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Suns | 47c | 212.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 54c | 210.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…ff00backed Lakers | 50c | 205$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…7f90backed Suns | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…901ebacked Lakers | 50c | 205$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…ef5dbacked Suns | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Lakers | 49c | 204.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Lakers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Lakers | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…7fe9backed Lakers | 54c | 184.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…c30abacked Lakers | 52c | 182.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Lakers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Lakers | 49c | 177.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…d2a5backed Lakers | 52c | 174.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Suns | 47c | 172$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Lakers | 49c | 168.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Lakers | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Lakers | 21c | 158.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Suns | 46c | 149.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…dec8backed Lakers | 24c | 148$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 50c | 144.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Lakers | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Suns | 53c | 139.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Lakers | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Suns | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Lakers | 65c | 136.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 55c | 135$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Suns | 62c | 132.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Suns | 46c | 132$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Suns | 48c | 131.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Lakers | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Suns won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Lakers vs. SunsSuns won
- Lakers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.