TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2bcc…4324

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
552
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT52844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 528 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,701.45
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$54.07
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$1,041.39
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.35
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.96
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$106.95
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$97.44
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.47
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.94
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,583.53
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.99
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$293
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Showing 25 of 528 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2020%4 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$234.98
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$392.99
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$915
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,728.99
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$310
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$282
Jets vs. Ravensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$76.95
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$685
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$710
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$769.99
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,189.98
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$910
Spread: Chargers (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+124.7%+$1,110
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+156.4%+$609.97
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$51.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Lopez vs. Stevensonbacked Lopez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$720.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.