TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$382,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$402,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c5e…a114backed Clippers53c102,143$53,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,634.783554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Clippers60c97,696$58,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,324.4372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Spurs52c29,772$15,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,354.385750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Spurs42c24,775$10,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,382.155655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs47c16,138$7,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,606.82,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers54c14,747$7,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.1836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs47c13,647$6,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,229.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Clippers33c11,050$3,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.53941%16 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs67c10,809$7,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs47c9,699$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,114.224,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers50c9,286$4,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,642.911,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs48c7,457$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,907.371,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa75…f082backed Spurs51c5,740$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.561729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers48c5,693$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.481,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b50…7b56backed Clippers49c5,676$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs48c5,503$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Spurs41c5,276$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.985655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked Clippers55c4,742$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.041526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Spurs50c4,444$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22227251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Spurs47c4,067$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.7310256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Clippers48c4,037$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.5912240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Clippers49c3,607$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.6170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers61c3,359$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.9758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers61c3,223$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.031,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers58c3,172$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs46c2,217$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.691,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Spurs47c2,018$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.9522643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Spurs49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Spurs51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Spurs47c1,979$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.6220352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Clippers62c1,954$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.7358740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Clippers64c1,829$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.4462948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers57c1,808$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Clippers57c1,616$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.0424247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Spurs45c1,531$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.9831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Spurs51c1,523$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.034264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Spurs36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Spurs51c1,370$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.4311558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Spurs43c1,164$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.8927645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Spurs44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3616745.5%76 W · 91 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Clippers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.817637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs47c1,010$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.345,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Clippers49c965$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.8519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Clippers20c943.26$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.121,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs48c900.62$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.691,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs43c867.88$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.075,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Spurs50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Clippers61c732.99$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.1318648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs48c672.57$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.124,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Clippers55c587.59$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Spurs45c587.37$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.7320154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Spurs50c555$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24552844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Spurs37c455$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.058040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Clippers35c449.98$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6911945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Clippers62c442.66$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs52c388.48$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd403…048abacked Spurs77c384.93$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.092060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Clippers62c381.22$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4213835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Clippers51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.126256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Clippers66c371.06$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.939552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Clippers61c366.21$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs69c341.6$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers52c323.42$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.961,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62f…4857backed Spurs51c319.73$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.673050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Spurs34c308$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.6526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Spurs42c305$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0511538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Spurs42c305$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.057441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Spurs43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17117748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Spurs50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Spurs42c296$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.412637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Spurs37c284$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Clippers33c265.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7328046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Clippers65c265.85$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.784339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Clippers36c264.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.184738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Spurs37c260.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Clippers16c251.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.611,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs48c241.38$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.361,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Spurs37c232$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs40c226$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Spurs50c221$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.518456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Spurs43c220.55$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddd…ccbdbacked Spurs38c216.1$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Spurs46c208$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9423649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Clippers62c205.77$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.581,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Spurs51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.129545.3%43 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Spurs50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Clippers50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9724849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Spurs37c192.44$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2413540.7%55 W · 80 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Clippers61c191.93$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Spurs51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2510249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Spurs41c188.21$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.058545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Spurs38c186.49$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9331238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs42c185$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Spurs42c185$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.754835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Clippers66c175.45$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Clippers61c160.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6525049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Spurs47c160.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7426450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Spurs45c150.92$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.246435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Spurs50c149.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7537665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.