TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,747 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs45c1,419$639 inWon+$779.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Clippers1c968.82$10 inLost-$10.288342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Clippers54c624.94$339 inLost-$338.684067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Spurs46c500$230 inWon+$27035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Clippers48c402.09$194 inLost-$193.85646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Clippers39c390.93$154 inLost-$153.721,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed Spurs57c242.21$137 inWon+$1051478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Spurs25c180$45 inWon+$1358040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Spurs25c180$45 inWon+$1357441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Clippers56c173.86$97 inLost-$97.3684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Spurs25c160$40 inWon+$12012637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs44c156.46$69 inWon+$87.622,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Clippers42c105.97$45 inLost-$44.6376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Spurs25c100$25 inWon+$7517748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Spurs56c72.9$41 inWon+$32.0845445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Spurs23c64.33$15 inWon+$49.5221242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Spurs25c58.25$15 inWon+$43.6911538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Spurs25c53$13 inWon+$39.7523441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs46c44.29$21 inWon+$23.781,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Clippers47c36.29$17 inLost-$17.1533159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs42c30.25$13 inWon+$17.4732654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Spurs50c30$15 inWon+$1537753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x635b…1013backed Spurs48c21.32$10 inWon+$11.014654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.