TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$375,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$378,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,486 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under50c106,461$53,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,799.0243148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over50c66,949$33,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,143.1119754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over47c42,446$20,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,155.1543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c21,230$10,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,615.1932653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c18,139$9,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,509.51,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c16,551$6,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,037.132,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c13,467$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,867.031,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c11,594$5,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,912.95750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Over0c10,876$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.886962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over51c9,706$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950.0610949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c9,561$4,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.011,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over50c8,342$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,17114946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c7,200$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.746,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over51c6,869$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,502.9716346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c6,868$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.433,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over50c6,014$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00741649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c4,597$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.34,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Over47c4,183$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.833554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under51c4,000$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9512945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9405341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9402832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c3,293$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c2,539$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c2,425$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.661,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c2,421$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.862,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over48c2,258$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.1614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c2,205$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.4170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c2,202$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.712,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over50c2,062$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.1824151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Under51c1,941$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.191850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over50c1,921$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over44c1,625$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,465$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under52c1,457$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.266746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,221$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under51c1,154$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.457143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under52c1,121$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.918748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,116$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.7521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over49c1,066$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5110256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over47c1,041$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.189629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Under52c1,000$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4822657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2523251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Over51c875.44$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.4812240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c871.13$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.3971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c846.64$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over48c829.99$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.391,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over46c828.55$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.4813835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over50c752.45$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.51,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c728.41$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.1237355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under53c717.19$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0814049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c667.71$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.853,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c611.15$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2884850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Under50c590$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29513946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under52c578.84$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8416845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c576.69$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Under52c573.01$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.044940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.188654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under52c555$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under52c545.81$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.9910750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over49c535.43$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8616642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c399.39$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.71,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under51c395.76$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over8c392.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1826048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.123647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over45c329.09$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0923850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under53c326.52$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4711453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Under52c297.19$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6523550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Under52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.857346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Under76c265.19$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.996144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under56c261.75$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.395463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under52c255.87$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8214445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under52c248.73$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under76c245.89$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3760444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over51c228.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4723446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Under52c228.23$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5542845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c222$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11126745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under52c204.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3628852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under52c204.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2529554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0637852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.653745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Under55c185.12$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.473554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.421347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c175.28$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.392,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under52c170.93$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0513950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under53c165.02$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5620247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under52c164.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7815650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c164.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.163,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Under52c160.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9211050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c159.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.181,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Over50c155.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c151.64$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under75c149.72$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4319245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Under52c148.59$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.326842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.