TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,342 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedf7…8f79backed No51c848.75$431 inWon+$417.791,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Yes49c443.69$217 inLost-$217.4124949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No57c223.39$127 inWon+$96.235,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes49c197.84$97 inLost-$96.944761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Yes41c192.95$80 inLost-$79.591,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes50c123.11$62 inLost-$61.5617547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Yes50c77.6$39 inLost-$38.87842.3%33 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed No48c49.99$24 inWon+$265147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8661…4378backed Yes52c43.36$23 inLost-$22.743023.3%7 W · 23 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-53.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8535…c307backed No51c19.7$10 inWon+$9.658360.2%50 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.