TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Clippers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers54c89,303$48,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,633.9236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs47c37,417$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,916.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs45c35,537$15,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,545.666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs47c33,655$15,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,701.871,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers52c11,832$6,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,146.011,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Clippers50c8,515$4,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,257.361,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf038…03b1backed Spurs50c8,293$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,146.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Clippers50c8,036$4,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,017.8787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Spurs47c5,913$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.9912945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Clippers52c5,342$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.631,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Clippers51c4,755$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42510553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs52c4,466$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs46c4,347$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.381,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs47c2,588$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.091,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Clippers52c2,486$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.7213946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Clippers52c2,310$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.0422948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7401…31a1backed Spurs48c2,072$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs46c2,070$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs49c1,459$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.951,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs47c1,237$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.662,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers52c936.28$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.761,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Clippers52c908.14$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.0690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Clippers52c908.14$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.0671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs49c777.01$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.431,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs46c596.42$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.083,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Spurs48c530.91$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Clippers53c524.4$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Spurs48c499.96$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9835049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x252b…4bd9backed Clippers53c485.9$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers53c477.63$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Spurs48c416.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Clippers51c402.8$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4326553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Spurs49c384.15$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Clippers54c349.65$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9419550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Spurs55c310.72$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8311033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Spurs47c213.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Spurs50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c84…cb27backed Spurs49c194.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Clippers52c194.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Clippers52c182.6$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.951,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4beb…bd08backed Clippers53c170.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.381353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Clippers52c151.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7810143.6%44 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Spurs47c146.73$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1513835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs50c139.66$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.881,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs48c134.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…c05ebacked Clippers52c130.16$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.683066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs45c124.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.831,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Clippers52c122.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.528536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers54c118.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.212,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs45c118.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.511,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Spurs47c111.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8437845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Spurs53c106.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.837164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Clippers53c102.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.527751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Clippers52c99.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.549852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Clippers49c98.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2854853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Clippers50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Spurs49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.447848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Clippers53c95.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.754654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Clippers52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5666046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Clippers52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5638453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Clippers52c85.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4446255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Clippers53c83.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.213346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Clippers53c83.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.216053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Clippers53c83.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.259250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Clippers53c83.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Clippers53c83.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Clippers52c76.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.968646.5%40 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Clippers53c72.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5725651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5660…27e6backed Spurs48c69.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.035048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Clippers53c69.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.837848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Clippers53c68.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Spurs52c59.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6721550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Clippers27c58.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.991,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Clippers50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.18657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Spurs47c57.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Clippers52c56.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Spurs45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5610348.5%50 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Spurs50c54.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4455347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Clippers52c53.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7810753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Spurs51c52.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.544163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Clippers53c51.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4813052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Clippers52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2850351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Clippers53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Spurs49c44.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8738751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4148…713bbacked Spurs48c44.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Clippers52c44.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0621459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Spurs50c42.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Spurs48c41.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6455444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84a9…dbc4backed Spurs49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1810444.2%46 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf040…d11fbacked Spurs49c38.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.787647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.843,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Spurs49c31.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.051,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfc…20b7backed Clippers51c29.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.013345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed Clippers53c29.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.452763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Clippers53c29.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4530256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Clippers52c28.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6623453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Clippers54c27.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0512446.8%58 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Clippers52c26.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8914054.3%76 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.