TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c59,977$29,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,988.6332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over51c27,364$13,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,842.2243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c12,313$6,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,156.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c11,223$5,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,809.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under46c10,700$4,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,77871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c4,784$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.491,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c4,760$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.5790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Over50c4,656$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3285947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over50c3,811$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.541,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c3,052$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.712,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over55c2,395$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.2171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c2,067$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over23c1,599$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,576$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.921,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over54c1,309$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.9340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over31c1,297$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.911,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over57c1,096$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7514940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c1,037$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.692,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over50c1,015$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.3118444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,011$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Over51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.012437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Over54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.28859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa083…19c9backed Under65c849.94$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.591172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over52c555$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over47c342.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9949938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c297.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.831,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c297.16$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Over54c291.66$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.529749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c286.4$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.721,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over51c285.68$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c252.61$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.341,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over54c241.76$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.552,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over56c231.7$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9916555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over53c189.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.734855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1814640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over15c173.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9818844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over24c161.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.671,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over53c154.89$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.561,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over53c141.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2529352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c133.79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9178648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c7…66e4backed Over49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.82528%7 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c115.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.31,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under49c106.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.841,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over13c104.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6133159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.596435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97b3…d51ebacked Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.451764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under53c96.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1449247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under53c96.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under44c94.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8810940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over55c88.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over52c87.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Over30c87.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.235747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under47c86.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6715353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82cf…b944backed Over55c85.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.691855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over13c82.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7255751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over51c71.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4818459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd90f…b6dabacked Over53c67.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.563551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Over51c58.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7523048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over22c56.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4137848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over53c54.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8649852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1722249.5%110 W · 112 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over54c50.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2362546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Over50c50.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.084742.6%20 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2418850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36fb…ce54backed Over33c47.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…b9b3backed Over54c45.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.313943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c42.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.261,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c42.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.575,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a27…a12cbacked Under47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over55c38.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over54c36.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7231953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4520147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4521952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Over54c33.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.859658.3%56 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c31.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.613,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe170…8679backed Over54c27.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.864052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under48c21.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4534641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under47c21.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4546255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb5…6e63backed Over55c21.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.684658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over53c21.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2245460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under68c20.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6415662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Under52c20.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.867051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over55c19.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.732957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.