TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97b3…d51e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.14
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.76
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.33
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.85
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.55
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.13
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.18
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.46
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.11
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$35.54
Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.37
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.45
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.02
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$27.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid: Nerman Fatic vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.87
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.77
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.9
Grand Prix Hassan II: Aleksandar Vukic vs Taha Baadibacked Taha Baadi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$15.89
Naples: Vitaliy Sachko vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Morelia: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Morelia: Alexis Galarneau vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+143.4%+$20.28
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.28
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$33.63
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$18.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.