NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71dae1831cef2c7e85055e3c36a3f374805c2dd3a3d42b2bed9e99f5598b356

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $676,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $690,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,484 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	48c	236,653$113,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123,094.33	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	46c	119,716$55,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,273.9	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under	51c	79,633$40,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,612.86	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under	52c	75,000$39,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,000	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Under	52c	64,046$33,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,304.02	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-6.7wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over	49c	59,100$28,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,141.18	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	52c	48,739$25,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,414.87	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under	53c	35,142$18,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,491.26	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over	49c	30,109$14,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,355.8	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	48c	27,747$13,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,428.23	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under	53c	22,405$11,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,874.66	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	54c	19,061$10,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,340.65	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	52c	15,896$8,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,314.77	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under	53c	15,791$8,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,369.34	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under	53c	12,802$6,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,785.3	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	53c	9,840$5,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,206.85	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	9,062$5,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,748.01	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	54c	8,614$4,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,642.35	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under	55c	8,403$4,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,621.6	203	55.2%112 W · 91 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	48c	7,777$3,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,043.98	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	77c	6,409$4,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,915.02	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	52c	6,303$3,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,297.13	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	52c	6,109$3,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,205.94	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	53c	5,959$3,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,167.18	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under	52c	5,857$3,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,045.76	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under	52c	5,722$2,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,960.15	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	38c	5,252$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,001.61	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeaa…2ddfbacked Under	52c	4,774$2,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,482.26	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	52c	4,482$2,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,330.57	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under	52c	4,354$2,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,246.01	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under	55c	4,232$2,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,327.71	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	52c	3,859$2,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,006.76	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under	52c	3,310$1,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,704.86	110	33.6%37 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under	1c	3,292$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.92	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under	52c	3,250$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over	57c	2,886$1,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.97	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Under	55c	2,707$1,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,477.69	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	77c	2,526$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,941.48	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under	52c	2,148$1,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.81	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	54c	2,055$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.7	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	51c	2,038$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.53	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	53c	1,787$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.09	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee1…0404backed Under	52c	1,756$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	54c	1,740$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.6	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over	29c	1,594$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,137.13	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Under	55c	1,478$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.75	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under	52c	1,426$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.77	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	53c	1,381$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.93	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	65c	1,218$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.7	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1af8…9a99backed Over	28c	1,199$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.98	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	54c	1,103$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	60c	1,074$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.54	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Over	46c	1,072$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.78	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under	5c	1,051$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.33	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Over	49c	1,010$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.63	433	52.2%226 W · 207 L	+19.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x430a…a940backed Over	52c	1,009$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.77	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Under	49c	1,001$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.5	173	31.8%55 W · 118 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over	45c	943.1$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.7	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under	50c	892.6$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.3	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under	53c	876.63$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.59	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Under	57c	864.29$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.65	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	11c	857.62$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.5	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under	52c	814.1$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.33	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under	52c	797.87$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.89	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee21…e2febacked Over	9c	780.51$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710.26	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+135.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	53c	772.47$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.72	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under	52c	767.33$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.01	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	45c	766.23$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.43	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	53c	764.91$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.4	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	47c	760.47$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.39	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	53c	751.67$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.75	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed Under	52c	744.68$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.23	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Over	51c	723.38$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.46	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under	52c	697.09$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.49	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	52c	655.52$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.87	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	46c	647.86$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.32	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	49c	640.64$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.72	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Under	53c	613.7$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.68	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	52c	601.96$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.82	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under	52c	592.91$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.31	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	52c	573.14$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.03	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Under	34c	552.75$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.43	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Over	13c	538.99$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.5	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Under	57c	520.06$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.58	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	51c	492.5$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.18	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over	49c	484.45$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.07	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	49c	480.05$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.83	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d12…0fa7backed Under	51c	478.3$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.64	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over	49c	465.91$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.61	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Over	12c	462.12$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.67	265	30.9%82 W · 183 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	64c	458.91$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.21	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12a0…3c0ebacked Under	67c	442.01$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.02	158	53.8%85 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Under	30c	442$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.6	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over	47c	424$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.72	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over	46c	424$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.96	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under	69c	403.45$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.38	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	35c	400$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over	49c	392.94$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.4	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	52c	375.29$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.15	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Under	55c	358.24$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.03	190	45.8%87 W · 103 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 11.5No won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Pistons vs. ThunderThunder won
Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
Ron Holland II: Points O/U 11.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Pistons won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Pistons won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Pistons won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pistons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event