NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x570bf7bd260cc97f4ce2ec883bfaec9c85fd646a6fe30e5bda963fe58e2fbae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 29,960$15,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,610.67 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 16c | 20,009$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.51 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 49c | 8,043$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.02 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 7,830$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.7 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 47c | 7,539$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.14 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 7,237$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.02 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 52c | 4,961$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.24 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Under | 48c | 4,186$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.45 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 4,021$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.01 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Over | 41c | 3,326$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.31 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Over | 37c | 2,622$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.59 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 2,342$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.75 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Over | 79c | 2,150$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.74 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…15d4backed Under | 48c | 2,052$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,028$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 1,985$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.55 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Over | 17c | 1,979$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.27 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 52c | 1,889$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.56 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,540$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.19 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 55c | 1,339$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.4 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 48c | 1,221$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.29 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 41c | 1,133$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.87 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 54c | 1,101$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.78 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.11 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Under | 35c | 1,055$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.25 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 1,027$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.54 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.38 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 52c | 947.14$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.63 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…66e4backed Over | 63c | 941.56$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.96 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 26c | 867.4$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.05 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 734.6$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 55c | 715.27$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.49 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 35c | 652.92$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Over | 53c | 597.27$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.71 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 45c | 539.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Under | 39c | 460$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 449.04$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.04 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…80a7backed Under | 5c | 385.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over | 53c | 371.72$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 35c | 370$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…30b6backed Over | 60c | 360.81$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 49c | 359.53$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 55c | 358.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Over | 15c | 333.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 303.63$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 57c | 290.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 24c | 288.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Over | 16c | 280.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 50c | 280.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 53c | 277.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under | 20c | 276.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 248.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 48c | 246.26$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 20c | 246.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 22c | 239.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 77c | 205.68$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 39c | 202$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 53c | 200.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 190.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over | 39c | 189.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 189.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 49c | 187.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 55c | 182.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 47c | 178.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 174.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 173.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 60c | 173.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 20c | 167$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 16c | 165.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Under | 63c | 155.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 45c | 150.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 49c | 138.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 135.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 73c | 134.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 52c | 125.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Over | 55c | 108.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 29c | 102.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 57c | 102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 49c | 101.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 53c | 101.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Over | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 16c | 99.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 52c | 98.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 40c | 87.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 81.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Under | 61c | 74.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 21c | 74.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 52c | 70.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 52c | 68.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. ThunderThunder won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.