TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd57d…80d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,313.67
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,522.23
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$6,246.5
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,907.06
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.14
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,531Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$12,677.28
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$3,710.96
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,374.58
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.99
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.25
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,830.8
Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,583Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,583.03
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,089.86
Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,848Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$614.98
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+144.8%+$1,967.31
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,073.47
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,948Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$4,434.97
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,650
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$8,885.35
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,218.18
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$967.5
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.54
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.51
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.89
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.5
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,896Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,895.69
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,271.61
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.76
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.61
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.25
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.22
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.02
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.74
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.64
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.52
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.75
Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.15
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.61
Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.87
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.29
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.08
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,670.02
Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.54
Will Will Zalatoris win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.54
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Brandt Snedeker win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.13
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick20cpaid+273.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,087.24
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+3,007.5%+$53,561.7
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8,613.34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,014.66
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+183.6%+$13,671.49
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$6,236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+727.7%+$45,381.41
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,506Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$4,798.82
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.65
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$499
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,902Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+809.1%+$15,391.09
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,844Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$756
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$61.14
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$209.31
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick32cpaid+37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.5
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+1,233.3%+$1,392
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,373.57
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,557Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+82%+$7,014.28
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,879.1
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.97
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.45
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.9
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.59
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,313.45
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,824.17
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$732
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+590.5%+$663.93
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,108.53
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$657.5
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.68
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,781.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-79.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.33
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,607.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,311
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,310.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.