South American Leagues · resolved market
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b0f3adfd3e4bc3469d7cf877f8060a645e2a8c2501734e97b10859de2f0e6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.05 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 2,402$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 1,829$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Over | 52c | 1,366$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 57c | 555$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 50c | 389.7$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 322.35$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 318.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 57c | 315$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 57c | 312.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.42 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 57c | 304.16$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfd…7a0abacked Over | 50c | 218.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b0…6bc9backed Over | 50c | 217.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…420fbacked Under | 50c | 215$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…bc49backed Under | 50c | 213$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…9bf1backed Over | 50c | 210.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f00…93f3backed Under | 50c | 209$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f4…314dbacked Over | 50c | 208.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…922cbacked Under | 50c | 208$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f6c9backed Under | 50c | 206$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…072bbacked Under | 50c | 203$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc517…c76ebacked Over | 50c | 199.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…a750backed Under | 50c | 199$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…d74dbacked Over | 50c | 197.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b96…584abacked Over | 50c | 197.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…f512backed Under | 50c | 197.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…f08ebacked Over | 50c | 195.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…37d0backed Over | 50c | 195.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf204…0699backed Over | 50c | 190$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…6354backed Under | 50c | 190$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…7333backed Under | 50c | 190$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 48c | 158.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 76c | 146$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 55c | 122.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Under | 45c | 122.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 52c | 96.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 92.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 78.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 44c | 68.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 54.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 71c | 41.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 50c | 36.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…933bbacked Under | 57c | 34.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…dc67backed Over | 51c | 26.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…cf39backed Over | 51c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 58c | 24.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Under | 57c | 24.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…2dd8backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefe…5891backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…2958backed Over | 51c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…40c5backed Over | 51c | 23.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251d…49d6backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…9f10backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cb…fbc2backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 76c | 20.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…c01dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 66c | 16.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.