South American Leagues · resolved market
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b339a3bc2dfe111fed2222f2941e5b68ab61924c80c666663fb7e982b56cdfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66e1…8720backed Under | 75c | 1,986$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 1,246$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 1,180$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.91 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Over | 14c | 776.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 26c | 473$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.39 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 462.66$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Under | 79c | 414.38$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 62c | 268$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 232$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 14c | 149$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 14c | 125.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 71c | 74.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 69c | 64.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 50.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 67c | 33.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 67c | 33.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 71c | 25.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 65c | 22.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 71c | 20.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 61c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 61c | 18.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.