TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No45c627.73$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.138,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No45c315$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.138554.1%46 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes56c300$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.97943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe14c…0fadbacked No50c211.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bc…40eabacked No50c211.35$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x911c…f546backed No50c210.68$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc9…72f3backed No50c210.15$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a65…88e5backed No50c209$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x678a…abbdbacked No50c208.44$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9879…0a36backed No50c207.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd07f…8302backed No50c206.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4bf…85e6backed No50c204.54$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e35…beabbacked No50c204.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb511…4224backed No50c202.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5b…e06bbacked No50c202.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.42650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b2…39dabacked No50c201.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88f9…9becbacked No50c201.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcefc…347dbacked No50c201.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.79450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4d…d3a0backed No50c201.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a4e…669dbacked No50c200.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f1…d589backed No50c200.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1231…9019backed No50c200.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ef…e9fbbacked No50c199.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2637…0deebacked No50c199.7$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1dc…9389backed No50c199.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff6f…9e3cbacked No50c198.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa18…8fc1backed No50c197.19$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x619a…ff81backed No50c196.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…5c16backed No50c195.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499a…febcbacked No50c195.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc526…c973backed No50c195.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b2…0cb6backed No50c195.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9c…e080backed No50c195.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a6c…a200backed No50c195.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a4d…7ca5backed No50c195.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e70…740dbacked No50c195.2$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38e6…8431backed No50c195.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b3…18ebbacked No50c195.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b06…3ef9backed No50c194.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eda…2754backed No50c194.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d4…3f2abacked No50c194.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa731…600cbacked No50c194.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe07c…71b9backed No50c194.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5baa…15e2backed No50c194.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fb…72ccbacked No50c194.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa876…ed40backed No50c194.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29d0…ceb7backed No50c194.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453d…d110backed No50c194.04$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8748…a5cbbacked No50c193.73$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeff6…2ff7backed No50c192.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…d23dbacked No50c192.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c8…e7eabacked No50c192.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae6…b2ccbacked No50c191.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9494…110ebacked No50c191.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6f8…d24fbacked No50c191.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f58…7becbacked No50c190.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x022c…59c8backed No50c190.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b4…0b41backed No50c190.05$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce1…4304backed No50c189.11$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x533a…1676backed No50c188.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90da…3768backed No50c187.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ec…0142backed No50c186.14$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3b3…0592backed No50c186.07$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b4…3b3dbacked No50c185.51$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aef…de78backed No50c185.26$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fa…43b6backed No50c183.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x875e…0377backed No50c183.41$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9999…f8c7backed No50c183.21$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9f…6d55backed No50c182.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e3…5cb5backed No50c182.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e4…afeabacked No50c182.13$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b2f…fcdcbacked No50c182.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a0…77bdbacked No50c180.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x486a…1c30backed No50c179.79$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…e3e1backed No50c179.62$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…a607backed No50c179.41$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…dee2backed No50c178.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88b…4bc6backed No50c178.12$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x679f…f9e0backed No50c177.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2181…32b2backed No50c177.58$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a4…821dbacked No50c177.57$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc886…0288backed No50c177.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6322…85a3backed No50c177.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe302…ec08backed No50c177.52$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1469…3a8abacked No50c177.52$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cde…ced3backed No50c177.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…ef9ebacked No50c177.49$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf9b…1003backed No50c177.46$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1cb…9113backed No50c177.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a71…01d3backed No50c177.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6016…97cdbacked No50c177.13$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0937…99dfbacked No50c176.89$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No50c176$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.478026.3%21 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8409…546ebacked No50c175.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…c7c0backed No50c175.1$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1494…0593backed No50c174.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78d6…116abacked No50c174.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfd…f70ebacked No50c171.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db7…251ebacked No50c170.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad0…2980backed No50c167.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.