NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6930e1f825759849d39cd627214bcd1735aa640a84ee84030f3933de507880d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Warriors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,201,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,006,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,201,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Warriors | 44c | 1,196,281$521,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521,685.42 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Suns | 59c | 826,610$487,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338,910.17 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns | 68c | 664,224$453,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,023.95 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Warriors | 41c | 511,923$210,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210,007.66 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 58c | 467,808$271,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196,479.53 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Warriors | 43c | 389,828$169,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,053.48 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 38c | 363,938$139,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,567.43 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Suns | 58c | 339,407$196,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,550.98 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Suns | 56c | 294,720$165,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,676.78 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Warriors | 0c | 255,252$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 58c | 198,679$114,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,418.93 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 42c | 186,560$77,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,937.41 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Suns | 56c | 180,000$100,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,199.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Suns | 56c | 147,653$82,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,967.36 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Warriors | 44c | 137,273$60,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,400 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Warriors | 42c | 127,211$52,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,928.67 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Suns | 56c | 114,942$64,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,574.32 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Warriors | 1c | 113,230$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.76 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Warriors | 42c | 103,896$43,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,434 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors | 3c | 102,676$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.93 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Warriors | 0c | 101,413$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.49 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Suns | 62c | 96,631$59,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,119.66 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 30c | 96,062$28,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,445.28 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Warriors | 42c | 91,966$38,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,232.76 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Warriors | 27c | 89,270$24,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,215.87 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Suns | 68c | 87,526$59,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,574.33 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Warriors | 45c | 85,956$38,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,680 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Suns | 57c | 82,320$46,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,705.3 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Suns | 56c | 78,921$44,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,725.27 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…e677backed Warriors | 44c | 77,536$34,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,115.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Warriors | 32c | 73,725$23,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,768.13 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Suns | 74c | 70,004$51,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,385.89 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Warriors | 42c | 67,656$28,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,415.45 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 56c | 64,364$36,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,122.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 18c | 62,102$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,899.91 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 62c | 58,428$36,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,172.3 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…a768backed Warriors | 25c | 58,284$14,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,541.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Warriors | 41c | 54,720$22,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,435.2 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 58c | 52,207$30,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,001.92 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Warriors | 26c | 51,567$13,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,407.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Warriors | 41c | 51,000$20,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,910 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Warriors | 32c | 50,705$16,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,201.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Suns | 56c | 50,195$28,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,085.81 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 56c | 49,331$27,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,705.71 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Warriors | 42c | 45,785$19,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,298.06 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 72c | 44,541$32,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,306.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Warriors | 41c | 43,800$17,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,957.99 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 2c | 43,552$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.59 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Warriors | 35c | 41,322$14,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,472.17 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 71c | 37,508$26,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,919.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…de22backed Warriors | 42c | 37,295$15,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,664.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Warriors | 29c | 36,307$10,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,534.37 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Suns | 59c | 34,933$20,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,322.67 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Suns | 56c | 34,775$19,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300.85 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…335cbacked Warriors | 1c | 34,058$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.81 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Warriors | 42c | 33,895$14,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,235.9 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Warriors | 44c | 33,824$14,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,882.56 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 27c | 32,970$9,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,057.22 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Warriors | 26c | 32,336$8,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,407.47 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Suns | 58c | 31,479$18,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,086.21 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Warriors | 42c | 31,243$13,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,040.05 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Warriors | 40c | 31,168$12,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,556.42 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Warriors | 21c | 30,927$6,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,433.31 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Suns | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…dda0backed Suns | 75c | 29,925$22,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,613.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 14c | 28,754$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.76 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…b67fbacked Suns | 64c | 27,965$17,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,070.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Warriors | 8c | 26,497$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.89 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Suns | 58c | 25,474$14,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,699.11 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 42c | 25,280$10,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,617.79 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…b403backed Warriors | 42c | 25,038$10,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,515.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Suns | 58c | 24,209$14,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,167.91 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Suns | 58c | 23,630$13,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,960.93 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Suns | 66c | 23,444$15,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,057.69 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…9709backed Warriors | 42c | 23,212$9,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Suns | 56c | 23,100$12,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,164 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Warriors | 40c | 23,049$9,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,209.4 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ba…01ecbacked Warriors | 42c | 22,981$9,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,652 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Warriors | 38c | 22,694$8,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,666.72 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Warriors | 1c | 22,116$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.69 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Warriors | 44c | 21,964$9,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,664 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +90%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Suns | 60c | 21,620$13,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,580.18 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Warriors | 42c | 20,539$8,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,626.57 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Warriors | 41c | 20,520$8,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,413.15 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 41c | 20,291$8,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,319.28 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Suns | 69c | 20,000$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.83 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Warriors | 42c | 19,999$8,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,332.98 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…da36backed Warriors | 28c | 19,628$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Suns | 59c | 17,357$10,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,116.51 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 16,877$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Suns | 72c | 16,301$11,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…ae70backed Warriors | 1c | 16,282$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Warriors | 29c | 15,723$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.06 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Warriors | 38c | 15,166$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,781.6 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Warriors | 14c | 14,171$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.74 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Suns | 56c | 13,914$7,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.21 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Suns | 73c | 13,841$10,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.07 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f8…387bbacked Warriors | 42c | 13,834$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…5f74backed Warriors | 42c | 13,789$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Sunsthis page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.