NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87e45f6421d1555c0c20c36ed6084f32329c44454927ae2aa2a9db511a114a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $496,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Warriors | 49c | 107,770$52,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,807.42 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 51c | 99,997$50,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,998.47 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Suns | 51c | 77,487$39,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,968.59 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Warriors | 48c | 46,096$22,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,137.48 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 49c | 43,626$21,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,215.88 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Warriors | 48c | 30,499$14,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,639.34 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 52c | 29,708$15,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,259.74 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Warriors | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.9 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Suns | 52c | 19,915$10,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,559.1 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Warriors | 49c | 19,784$9,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 47c | 15,492$7,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,291.24 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Suns | 51c | 15,111$7,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,404.39 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 47c | 15,091$7,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,162.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Suns | 52c | 14,736$7,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,073.29 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Suns | 53c | 14,511$7,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,820.12 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Warriors | 49c | 13,871$6,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,796.98 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 48c | 11,178$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,363.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Suns | 52c | 10,577$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.76 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Suns | 52c | 9,295$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.47 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 52c | 8,882$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.53 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Suns | 52c | 7,964$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.64 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Suns | 52c | 7,757$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.7 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Suns | 51c | 6,994$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.08 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 28c | 6,278$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.29 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.94 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Warriors | 49c | 5,935$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.2 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Suns | 52c | 5,603$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.48 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Suns | 52c | 5,342$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.97 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Suns | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.04 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 48c | 4,332$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.45 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Warriors | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Suns | 52c | 3,735$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.98 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warriors | 32c | 3,704$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.13 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 48c | 3,418$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.53 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 48c | 3,306$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Suns | 51c | 3,273$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.53 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Suns | 53c | 3,270$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.01 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 48c | 3,134$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Warriors | 48c | 2,442$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.25 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Warriors | 48c | 2,398$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.27 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Warriors | 49c | 2,187$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.26 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…11c1backed Suns | 52c | 2,171$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.91 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Suns | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.21 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Suns | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.8 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 26c | 2,019$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.86 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Warriors | 47c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.96 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Suns | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.35 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Warriors | 47c | 1,755$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.98 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Suns | 52c | 1,748$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.12 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…e447backed Suns | 52c | 1,691$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Suns | 53c | 1,619$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.39 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Warriors | 48c | 1,611$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.1 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Suns | 51c | 1,532$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.4 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Suns | 52c | 1,259$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.46 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Warriors | 49c | 1,212$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.76 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Suns | 52c | 1,200$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.99 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…036ebacked Warriors | 27c | 1,200$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Warriors | 48c | 1,163$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.86 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Suns | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Warriors | 49c | 1,128$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.68 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 51c | 1,124$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Suns | 54c | 1,100$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.67 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Suns | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.23 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Suns | 52c | 1,068$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.79 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Warriors | 47c | 1,050$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.28 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…dc48backed Warriors | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Suns | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…20aebacked Warriors | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Warriors | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Suns | 54c | 936.39$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.74 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Suns | 52c | 929.78$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.29 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Warriors | 48c | 927$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.96 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Warriors | 27c | 877.87$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.73 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 46c | 869.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…b56abacked Warriors | 49c | 853.07$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.01 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Suns | 68c | 848.62$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.85 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Suns | 58c | 834.84$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.89 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Warriors | 49c | 788.05$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.81 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Suns | 52c | 773.13$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Warriors | 49c | 755.77$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Suns | 51c | 714.36$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.04 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Suns | 52c | 683.58$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.12 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Suns | 52c | 679.84$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Warriors | 49c | 671.95$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.01 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Suns | 53c | 661$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Warriors | 44c | 610.47$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.36 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Warriors | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Suns | 53c | 585.21$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Suns | 52c | 567.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.44 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…169bbacked Suns | 70c | 561.14$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Suns | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Suns | 52c | 560.03$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.81 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Warriors | 45c | 550$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…b6e8backed Warriors | 47c | 546.79$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Suns | 69c | 511.23$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Suns | 69c | 506.39$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.62 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Warriors | 48c | 493.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Suns | 52c | 490.53$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Suns | 52c | 475.57$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Warriors vs. SunsSuns won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.