NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf751e989d0444f78d476c2703a94c65b9d3525768fb9912e416ba120d4cf0caa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 48c | 114,460$54,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,519 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 96,704$50,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,286.25 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 0c | 12,124$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Under | 50c | 9,708$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.64 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…ee85backed Over | 54c | 8,500$4,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 8,045$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.59 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 17c | 7,022$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.15 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 6,887$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 25c | 6,683$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.41 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Under | 51c | 6,637$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.69 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 48c | 5,407$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.73 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 5c | 4,747$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.44 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 4,678$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 4,371$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 4,023$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.27 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 3,704$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.43 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 3,508$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 26c | 3,062$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.45 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b2…ada8backed Over | 52c | 2,802$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece9…f586backed Under | 54c | 2,233$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 2,079$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.05 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 1,680$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.69 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 52c | 1,554$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.93 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,545$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.22 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…294bbacked Over | 53c | 1,459$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 46c | 1,385$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.86 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Over | 51c | 1,101$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.25 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.75 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 49c | 999.72$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.86 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…ea4cbacked Under | 55c | 998.06$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 50c | 992.99$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.92 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 54c | 912.59$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.73 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…1ceabacked Over | 25c | 897.55$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over | 53c | 775.84$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.09 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 730.04$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 714.03$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.29 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d9…56c4backed Over | 52c | 700.38$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 52c | 686.85$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.52 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 53c | 665.61$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.76 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Over | 13c | 658.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 52c | 653.69$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.92 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Over | 53c | 645.79$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 52c | 640.03$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.82 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…0510backed Over | 53c | 554.96$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 532.31$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 516.97$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 52c | 512.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Over | 25c | 500.63$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 52c | 470.72$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 46c | 460.54$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.62 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Over | 42c | 458.1$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.07 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Over | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 51c | 444.33$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 49c | 422.09$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.27 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 412.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.75 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 398.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…057fbacked Over | 53c | 387.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…a3e9backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 355.35$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.91 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 78c | 351.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 31c | 347.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 50c | 314.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 7c | 313.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 38c | 311.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 306.29$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Over | 52c | 300.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 49c | 297.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Over | 52c | 283.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…beeabacked Over | 17c | 275.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 39c | 247.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 236.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 48c | 227.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…81f6backed Over | 54c | 217.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 49c | 217.2$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 48c | 211.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4f…dd3fbacked Under | 48c | 204.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 43c | 202.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ea…812bbacked Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…5ea8backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaad…8cddbacked Under | 49c | 199.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb974…ec7fbacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…fcb0backed Over | 54c | 190.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…83bcbacked Over | 52c | 187.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…5f01backed Over | 53c | 183.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Over | 53c | 183.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7b…2328backed Over | 53c | 183.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Over | 53c | 182.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -11.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 54c | 180.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Warriors vs. SunsSuns won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.