TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,559 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under46c1,107$514 inWon+$592.9950346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c847.61$441 inLost-$440.752,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over58c311.08$180 inLost-$180.4315849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under42c255.98$108 inWon+$148.476636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under43c228.1$98 inWon+$130.351,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Over54c227.3$122 inLost-$121.9310245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under45c131.23$59 inWon+$72.2379650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under48c109.89$53 inWon+$57.1476247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8274…aaa7backed Over68c92.37$63 inLost-$62.81560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1392…04d7backed Over52c53.7$28 inLost-$28.171457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e8…0f39backed Over61c52.05$32 inLost-$31.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over56c48.21$27 inLost-$2755751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Over57c47.39$27 inLost-$27.0116653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over53c46.47$25 inLost-$24.632,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over52c39.22$20 inLost-$20.41,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over52c37.35$19 inLost-$19.4237848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce4…8f30backed Over53c37.27$20 inLost-$19.612850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb510…762bbacked Over54c35.24$19 inLost-$19.155848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Over52c26.91$14 inLost-$13.992250%11 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c25.66$12 inWon+$13.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…2b18backed Under47c23.36$11 inWon+$12.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.