NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcfbdff9fdb76ad5e0c98ea7f9ad0c8a7cec3516303549de9c0067f73a7014f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 49c | 82,499$40,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,074.62 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Suns | 51c | 26,531$13,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,918.03 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 52c | 23,046$11,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,885.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…b67fbacked Warriors | 49c | 21,903$10,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,732.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Suns | 48c | 20,183$9,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,495.33 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 52c | 17,190$8,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,938.91 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Warriors | 53c | 15,554$8,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,212.66 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 73c | 13,582$9,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.29 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…9c1bbacked Warriors | 51c | 13,478$6,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 46c | 11,310$5,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.42 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 51c | 10,114$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.96 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…ee85backed Suns | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Warriors | 27c | 9,910$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.7 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…ddf4backed Suns | 47c | 9,022$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Warriors | 51c | 8,735$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.05 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 47c | 8,323$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Suns | 54c | 7,921$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.15 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Warriors | 51c | 7,765$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.05 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Warriors | 52c | 6,403$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 57c | 5,664$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warriors | 46c | 5,306$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.53 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Suns | 69c | 5,193$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.7 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Suns | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Suns | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.96 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Suns | 48c | 4,642$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.93 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Warriors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Warriors | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Warriors | 50c | 3,848$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.16 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,684$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Warriors | 52c | 3,400$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.98 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Warriors | 51c | 3,129$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.9 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Suns | 48c | 2,949$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.06 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Suns | 58c | 2,886$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.95 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Suns | 47c | 2,806$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.05 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Warriors | 51c | 2,761$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.07 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Suns | 48c | 2,685$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.33 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,227$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.6 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Warriors | 51c | 2,189$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.51 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Suns | 59c | 2,143$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.23 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Suns | 58c | 2,081$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.67 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Suns | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Warriors | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Suns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Warriors | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Warriors | 52c | 1,874$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.7 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Warriors | 51c | 1,713$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.54 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Suns | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.63 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,546$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…fffdbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,475$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…3d96backed Warriors | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.58 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Suns | 51c | 1,276$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.39 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Suns | 48c | 1,264$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.43 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…a72abacked Warriors | 49c | 1,237$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Warriors | 23c | 1,100$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.56 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Suns | 48c | 1,048$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Suns | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Suns | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Warriors | 38c | 996.44$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.65 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Suns | 50c | 995.51$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.76 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Suns | 48c | 984.95$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.17 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Suns | 47c | 980.86$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.86 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Suns | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Suns | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Warriors | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Suns | 48c | 914.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.95 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Suns | 48c | 885.81$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.62 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Suns | 48c | 864.46$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.52 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Warriors | 52c | 824.2$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.48 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 50c | 790.61$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.4 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Warriors | 53c | 777.44$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.04 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Warriors | 51c | 776.48$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…294bbacked Suns | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Suns | 50c | 744.96$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.48 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Warriors | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Warriors | 41c | 692.39$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.03 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Warriors | 51c | 676.51$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.02 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Warriors | 44c | 667.05$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.58 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked Warriors | 50c | 653.64$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 31c | 635.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked Warriors | 20c | 615.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Suns | 47c | 608.02$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.25 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Warriors | 12c | 584.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Suns | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Warriors | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Warriors | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4637backed Warriors | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Warriors | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Warriors | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Warriors | 51c | 552.27$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.66 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Warriors | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…ca73backed Warriors | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Suns | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Warriors | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 52c | 487.55$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Warriors | 51c | 462.01$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.62 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Suns | 47c | 432.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.76 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Warriors vs. SunsSuns won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.