TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5b0…a72a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.17
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.89
Rome: Andrea Guerrieri vs Arthur Ferybacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$9.57
Madrid Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Abidjan: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Oscar Weightmanbacked Oscar Weightman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Madrid Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Madrid Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Simona Waltertbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.33
Madrid Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia Belluccibacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11
Abidjan: Maxime Chazal vs Millen Hurrionbacked Millen Hurrion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.95
Savannah: Michael Antonius vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Michael Antonius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.48
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.19
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.32
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Maxim Mrvabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.43
Madrid Open: Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samsonbacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.52
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$340.94
Madrid Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$629.57
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.2
Rome: Remy Bertola vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+142.3%+$255.08
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Samuele Pieribacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.89
Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.37
Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Tung-Lin Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.38
Gwangju: Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakinbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.4
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.3
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.65
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.44
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.17
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$948.54
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.28
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.74
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$627.54
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$474.47
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$671.97
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85%+$550.4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$892.66
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$134.59
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$666
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$666
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.