MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f27d2ebe167ea27b2b2011663c40dd79dea5605503b26738684247a714c30fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,406,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,817,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,406,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 478 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 393,184$164,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229,127.86 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 202,420$120,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,091.13 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 70,043$41,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,585.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 60,000$35,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,400 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 54,000$23,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,239.91 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 40,187$22,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,537.32 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 36,518$21,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,832.44 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 24,097$8,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,074.25 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 23,244$9,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,198.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 22,721$9,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,065.68 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 15,625$9,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,018 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 13,927$5,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,073.93 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 13,039$7,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,302 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 12,495$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,870.21 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 11,922$7,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,336.42 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 11,748$7,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,633.64 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 10,112$6,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,404.1 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 9,380$6,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,514.42 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 8,534$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,938.72 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 8,347$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 7,495$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 7,078$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.89 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 5,823$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 5,343$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.97 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 4,909$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.27 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,876$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.71 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 4,817$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.1 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 4,682$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.09 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 4,546$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.75 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 4,421$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.81 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,319$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.6 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 4,286$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.29 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 4,138$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.75 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,823$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.56 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,815$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 3,242$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.14 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 3,137$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.13 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 3,056$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.65 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 2,321$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.06 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…7fb3backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,139$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 2,122$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.03 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 2,075$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.32 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,034$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.91 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,999$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.44 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 1,916$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.22 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,836$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.11 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,709$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.06 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 1,674$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.06 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,535$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.6 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,480$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,460$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.6 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,393$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.92 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,392$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.8 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,349$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.3 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,333$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.64 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,300$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.68 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,278$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 1,208$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.29 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,187$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,185$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.52 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,158$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.42 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,148$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.14 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,148$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.34 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,110$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…a72abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,108$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e2…1585backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,051$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,036$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.97 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 1,035$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.89 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,015$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.99 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,013$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.35 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,001$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.06 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 967$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.85 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 880.62$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.58 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 790.43$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 767.09$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.43 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 743.28$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.64 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 711.84$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.19 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 700.6$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.81 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 678.8$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.34 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 670.45$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.45 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 666.41$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.75 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 647.79$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.76 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 636.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 613.37$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.49 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 613.08$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.19 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…cddbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 602$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 599.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.86 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 599.98$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 588.29$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.94 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 588.17$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.02 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 555.61$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.55 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 550.22$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.62 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 549.19$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.06 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 2.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 3.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.