TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x941f…58ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10924.8%27 W · 82 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$54.3
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.73
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+415.8%+$73.32
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.22
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$63.98
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.38
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.24
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.66
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.68
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+573.6%+$280.58
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$8.61
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.09
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.15
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.32
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT8650%43 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.61
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.87
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.06
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$720.3
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$12.06
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$41.1
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.19
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.11
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.74
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$22.77
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.6
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.23
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.78
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$106.79
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.17
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,608.22
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.78
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$147.59
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,017Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$1,119.32
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$124.56
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.06
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+169.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$92.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.