TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$729,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$748,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Pacers11c124,501$13,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,695.0711137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Pacers10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers0c29,783$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.15213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Pacers11c27,036$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.3620744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pacers2c23,054$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.191,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pacers3c22,900$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.81,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pacers2c22,248$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.271,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers2c15,153$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0729055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers12c13,769$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.5847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Pacers2c10,084$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4334136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pacers10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Pacers2c9,510$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.351417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers9c7,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.011,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Pacers13c6,381$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.381338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers0c5,354$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.87211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Pacers13c5,104$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.4615435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers11c4,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers11c4,381$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.9243438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers6c4,219$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.783,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Pacers11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9923742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers12c3,950$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.941,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Pacers6c3,775$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.525226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers4c3,325$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.222,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers10c3,304$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3664944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pacers5c3,103$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.321,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers13c3,005$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.661336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers11c2,813$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Pacers10c2,365$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.54358.1%25 W · 18 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+53.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Pacers12c2,190$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6155346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Pacers11c2,168$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.537915.2%12 W · 67 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Pacers17c2,047$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.4224247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers1c2,007$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.292,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Pacers10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Pacers13c1,805$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.985335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Pacers4c1,769$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4715219.7%30 W · 122 L-26.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pacers2c1,708$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8436023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Pacers14c1,679$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4146847.4%222 W · 246 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pacers12c1,579$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4446632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Pacers15c1,546$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.726844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Pacers14c1,515$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Pacers14c1,422$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.597353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Pacers13c1,137$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pacers7c1,136$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.731,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Pacers13c1,112$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9560944.8%273 W · 336 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d3…4b2bbacked Pacers15c1,076$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.331741.2%7 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+82.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Pacers1c1,030$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6673649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers5c1,005$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.251,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e43…5a67backed Pacers13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfca2…9488backed Pacers13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pacers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Pacers13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf376…b135backed Pacers13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed Pacers13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+142.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Pacers15c999.97$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Pacers7c964.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9555316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Pacers12c947.2$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6613932.4%45 W · 94 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Pacers10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.616136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Pacers10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.66817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Pacers13c936.76$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4118246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Pacers12c804.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.515246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Pacers11c796.17$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5811843.2%51 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Pacers11c793.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.522836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Pacers10c684.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.443958.8%258 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers13c659.12$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.841,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Pacers15c613.4$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9328046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Pacers11c601.11$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Pacers12c599.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7242645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers10c575.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.536,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Pacers9c571.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.424841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers3c553.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Pacers4c546.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.254214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers12c525.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0535547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec18…89ebbacked Pacers6c504.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.073616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Pacers11c473.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0630146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pacers11c467.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4230947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f4…5944backed Pacers2c425.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.214526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Pacers12c395.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0447045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Pacers13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.393554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24f6…9ef6backed Pacers12c360.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Pacers11c356.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2811242.9%48 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Pacers12c354.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.538652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Pacers14c326.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3917936.3%65 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Pacers4c324.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.029851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Pacers14c297.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.125546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b89…0d9cbacked Pacers11c283.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.242937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Pacers11c273$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…f1ccbacked Pacers13c270$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Pacers11c250$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x941f…58ecbacked Pacers4c242.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6710924.8%27 W · 82 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec5…9bc4backed Pacers10c227.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.73520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Pacers11c212.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.421,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91f…a82bbacked Pacers14c204.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.613630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Pacers14c203.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe1…6237backed Pacers12c197.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6840%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Pacers12c197.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6811926.1%31 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Pacers18c190.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2358951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Pacers12c180.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.659545.3%43 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.