TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa051…54eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
253
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT15435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 154 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,163.96
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,916
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.62
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.52
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.45
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.46
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,690.2
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$4,169.49
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,690
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$5,389.2
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+300%+$5,759.4
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,502Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$7,917.68
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,300
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,804Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+84%+$2,356.49
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$850
Showing 25 of 154 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,334.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,434.3
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,417.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,406Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$4,095.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,928
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+177.8%+$1,777.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,040
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$2,633.33
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$326.79
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$160.67
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,227.27
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$5,843.99
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$4,003.22
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+115.3%+$2,305.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,300
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,833.33
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+211.3%+$8,452.11
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$2,929.97
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$565
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$690
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,466.71
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,945
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,699.54
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,077
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$809.99
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$315.79
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$646.15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,510.9
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,192.59
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+257.1%+$1,800
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+376.2%+$3,009.52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$2,386.05
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+169.3%+$1,896.13
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,571.43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$5,224.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+185.7%+$491.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13,144.49
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10,000
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,441.18
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$600
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$1,335.48
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,240.43
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$350
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,070.62
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$785.71
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$439.87
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+59.9%+$598.57
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+266%+$1,994.71
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+170.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+244.8%+$3,182.76
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,441.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17,247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12,489.36
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+54.3%+$5,038.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$5,094.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,954
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$2,129.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.