Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64e557e53b439574833efd0b62d8051342fbe27ed3dfb1b5380ffead0da21bf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 70c | 130,093$90,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,117.91 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 40,433$11,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,775.18 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 25,149$7,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,539.02 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 30c | 14,670$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Yes | 34c | 10,389$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 32c | 10,136$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.02 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 8,641$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.3 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 6,735$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.95 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 68c | 5,800$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 4,050$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 3,989$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.75 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 34c | 3,686$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.4 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…e832backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 32c | 3,137$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 2,945$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.38 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 67c | 2,794$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,444$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.87 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 29c | 2,411$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.47 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 74c | 2,027$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.83 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 33c | 1,773$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 66c | 1,754$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.45 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…6fd3backed Yes | 4c | 1,672$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 70c | 1,608$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.39 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,600$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 1,568$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.5 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 67c | 1,563$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 12c | 1,534$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 64c | 1,500$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…847abacked No | 68c | 1,403$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 11c | 1,319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed No | 70c | 1,267$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 30c | 1,202$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.67 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 64c | 1,200$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 33c | 1,003$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.83 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 786.65$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 13c | 742.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…8a1abacked Yes | 12c | 734.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 64c | 723.04$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 22c | 683.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes | 15c | 667.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 33c | 614.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 603$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Yes | 4c | 530.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 32c | 525$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 30c | 509.27$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…d110backed Yes | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 64c | 499.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 10c | 499.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 34c | 499.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 35c | 499.66$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 30c | 472$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 37c | 448$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 29c | 446.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 33c | 428.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…acfabacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…a876backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…d27abacked Yes | 14c | 368.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 30c | 334.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…6052backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…e65abacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 30c | 287$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 66c | 276.79$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 63c | 273.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 30c | 273.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 34c | 264.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 35c | 264.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 66c | 260.85$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.