TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd7d…4b2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+203%+$406.06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$102.35
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+123.2%+$308.08
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+119.8%+$239.61
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$198.84
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$701.87
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.9%+$708.82
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+228.8%+$198.26
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+98%+$392.98
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$76
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100.44
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+377.4%+$75.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$175.7
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$108.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$582.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$295.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$311.15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$69.14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61%+$182.95
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.61
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$91.94
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$62.56
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$122.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$287.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+72.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will AZ win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will FC Porto vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+203%+$71.06
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+130.1%+$33.7
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.8%+$78.75
Will PSV win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+73.8%+$189.15
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AZ win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$150.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$65
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+63.2%+$170.77
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: Stony Brook Seawolves (-3.5)backed Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.7%+$113.38
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$93.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.