Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a4fdc0281949c94a5cadc9795ed3cc389b9210cba6b3664644494ab10e84fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 45c | 125,417$56,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,396.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.89 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 55c | 26,186$14,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,795.38 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…55eabacked Yes | 55c | 25,000$13,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 19,886$10,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,953.83 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 12,443$7,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.14 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 61c | 11,575$7,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.22 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 10,400$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.78 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 43c | 9,752$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.39 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 56c | 8,335$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.18 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.98 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 7,917$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.14 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 42c | 7,563$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 57c | 7,545$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 43c | 7,392$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 55c | 6,029$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.84 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 57c | 5,697$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.7 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed No | 45c | 5,495$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed No | 45c | 5,462$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Yes | 77c | 5,445$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 34c | 5,416$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.11 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 55c | 5,091$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed No | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 4,554$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.86 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 78c | 3,541$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.49 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 44c | 2,525$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 42c | 2,399$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.6 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 44c | 2,042$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.22 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,025$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.08 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…d37fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525a…7038backed No | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 43c | 1,760$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 44c | 1,751$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.11 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 55c | 1,695$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.71 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 57c | 1,683$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 55c | 1,504$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.01 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,211$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.48 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 42c | 1,200$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.97 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 38c | 1,165$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 43c | 1,004$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.84 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 44c | 911.26$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.96 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 57c | 884.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 58c | 863.62$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 32c | 858.1$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.02 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 44c | 700.77$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 670$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.1 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes | 57c | 615.4$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked No | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 595$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 54c | 581.81$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.81 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 57c | 581.09$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.74 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 56c | 567.25$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.56 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Yes | 51c | 554.92$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.91 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 55c | 495.85$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.13 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 44c | 468.18$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 22c | 463$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 55c | 454.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 55c | 449$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 55c | 422.53$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…bc44backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 74c | 388.04$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes | 53c | 364.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 60c | 332.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…fe33backed Yes | 55c | 330.6$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 57c | 317.54$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 56c | 301.28$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.28 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 57c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 43c | 299.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 57c | 283$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5549…b618backed Yes | 52c | 271.21$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 55c | 259.08$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?No won
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.