TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc490…6507

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.28
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will 1. FC Magdeburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.6
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.83
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.9%+$80.6
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$173.6
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$330
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+170.3%+$176.4
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$269.06
Will 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75%+$22.71
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Will VfL Bochum vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$346.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$92
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+203%+$268
Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$341
Will FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$324
Will FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+55.7%+$286.18
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$61.38
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$504
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$165.7
Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$140.3
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+54.3%+$72.14
Will Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$105.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$601.56
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$287
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$273.6
Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$297
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+213.3%+$953.14
Will Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$346.94
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$503.99
Will Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$207.9
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+257.1%+$1,080
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,660
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$278.65
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$284.6
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$191.76
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will FC Barcelona vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$401.26
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+97.1%+$397.46
Will Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$179.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,004.39
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$505.94
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Inter win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$40.06
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$52.84
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+28.8%+$28.85
All 23 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$92.74
Will FC Volendam vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Will Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$276
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.8
Will Celtic FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100.7
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$124.46
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+376.2%+$1,121.8
Will FC Groningen vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$597
Will PSV vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+212.5%+$680
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$724
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+91.3%+$477.36
Will SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.81
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$820.57
Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.8
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+429.4%+$143.29
Trump negative approval by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will ICE detain less than 600 people on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+26.1%+$26.07
Will Trump issue 100-149 executive orders in first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Donald Trump issue 31-33 executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will 50-52 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump sign between 1 and 3 executive orders on January 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump sign 0 executive orders on January 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Girona FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$288
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Will Levante UD vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+300%+$300
Will CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$287
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$218.74
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$79.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$163.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+76.8%+$304
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$189.6
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$92
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.1%+$199
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$554.99
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$462
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$528
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+194.1%+$990
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.8
Will FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$378
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+71.4%+$125
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$210
Will Paris FC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$531
Will FC Nantes vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.6%+$183.18
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+62.1%+$651
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$546.94
Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$513
Will Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$154.42
Will FC Lorient vs. FC Metz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+257.1%+$569.13
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$122.61
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2025, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye tweet 60-79 times on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Andrew Tate tweet 150 or more times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+300%+$45
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$39.63
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$24.65
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+316.7%+$76
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$23.43
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$17.99
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+214.9%+$84.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Juventus FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$249.8
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$917
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$304
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$512
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$240
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$672
Will US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+668.4%+$869.85
Will AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$980
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+151.7%+$975.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$74.1
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$292
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.9
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$353.7
Will KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$311.8
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+260.7%+$216.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+376.2%+$940.48
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the Progressive Conservatives win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Germany" during Macron presser today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Macron presser today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+70.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-64.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+43.4%+$111.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+346.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+346.2%+$117.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+50.2%+$80.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$17.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it take Jerry 5000 or more strokes to hit a Hole in One?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$257.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.