Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ba09913fc33658565320dac79f7ab732df14acc34ac55d7fafa8ffaeebf2abe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,994$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.82 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,990$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.36 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 2,406$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.53 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 24c | 968.14$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 17c | 884.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 831.96$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.19 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 732.42$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 375$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…14cebacked No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 17c | 211$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +264.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 37c | 179.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 75c | 172.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes | 16c | 162.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 8c | 161.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed No | 76c | 161$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 150.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 16c | 141$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…d7a8backed Yes | 46c | 108.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 16c | 103$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 20c | 97.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 97.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 16c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 92.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 16c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 40c | 65.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 52.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 27c | 42.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 69c | 26.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…74c2backed Yes | 46c | 25.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 78c | 21.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 78c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 77c | 13.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF end in a draw?this page
- Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
- Will Malmö FF win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.