TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd104…7c02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
795
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Middle East, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 64 out of 100; worst Commodities at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT11942%50 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
GRVT FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$25.43
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+248.4%+$62.11
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$456.71
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$162.03
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$159.81
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.16
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$13.12
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$44.52
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$90
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+41%+$28.12
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$291.09
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11640.5%47 W · 69 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+550.5%+$460.85
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$23.27
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+478%+$71.71
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$73.24
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.97
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$40.44
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$94.63
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10359.2%61 W · 42 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+48%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Middle East — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$33.48
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.59
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+249.8%+$62.45
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$10.42
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+151.7%+$22.75
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+253.3%+$50.66
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+281.2%+$33.75
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+681%+$102.14
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$63.95
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$76.23
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+369.7%+$55.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+732.6%+$109.89
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.73
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.26
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT8142%34 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$9.06
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.8
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$57.29
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$103.92
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$36.94
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$36.15
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.64
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$35.48
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+170.5%+$25.58
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.91
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.44
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$20.61
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.05
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$39.83
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+59%+$23.58
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-37.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.43
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$65.74
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$215.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$20.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$50.5
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$90.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$39.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.79
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$73.44
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.36
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.03
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+167.7%+$75.45
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$161.63
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$36.23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$50.81
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.29
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.2%+$26.05
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+173.7%+$43.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$25.89
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+54.1%+$15.72
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65.46
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$38.64
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$68.34
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.19
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.8
Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$22.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$27
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$65
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brighton vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+173.1%+$69.23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$13.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$41.9
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$38.33
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.98
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$87.51
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$40.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$111.37
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$29.86
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.68
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.38
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$25.4
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$45.2
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will BNB reach $1000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.3%+$84.54
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.42
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Natus Vincere Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$46.71
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.43
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$24.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.89
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$55.91
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.4%+$23.94
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+101.6%+$28.2
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$123.1
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$55.38
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.78
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.48
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+79%+$113.21
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$85.75
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$309.06
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$241.04
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+78.9%+$197.32
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150.54
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+73.2%+$183.03
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+107.6%+$75.31
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$30.94
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+82.2%+$74.01
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+88.1%+$62.36
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$148.75
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+59.2%+$50.3
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$41.56
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+93.8%+$61.48
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$27.25
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.36
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.46
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+108.2%+$108.16
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+248.1%+$54.57
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.23
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.19
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$31.39
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+113%+$169.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$43.33
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+54.8%+$35.65
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$259.19
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon register the America Party before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$100
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+82.2%+$62.18
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$224.75
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$254.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$54.74
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Dubois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.75
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Bivol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+92.8%+$90.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$125
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+199.2%+$39.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$52.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$20.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$407.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.