NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff712d25612538b1d57bcd7d2cc53fff0937a9fe52304069959a20150e6c201f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Warriors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $654,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 550 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 49c | 41,915$20,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,360.87 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Mavericks | 58c | 20,292$11,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,622.22 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 40c | 15,128$6,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,066.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Mavericks | 73c | 14,292$10,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Mavericks | 57c | 13,903$7,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,012.38 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Warriors | 72c | 13,888$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…61eebacked Mavericks | 76c | 13,640$10,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Warriors | 39c | 9,466$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.99 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Warriors | 49c | 8,811$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.67 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Mavericks | 28c | 6,400$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.03 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 30c | 5,050$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 44c | 4,366$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.57 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 37c | 3,981$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.79 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Warriors | 24c | 3,895$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.22 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 21c | 3,600$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Mavericks | 77c | 3,549$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.41 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Mavericks | 59c | 3,267$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Warriors | 24c | 3,212$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.05 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Mavericks | 32c | 3,130$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.03 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Mavericks | 60c | 3,000$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.93 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Warriors | 45c | 2,624$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.47 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 46c | 2,416$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.86 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 67c | 2,338$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.67 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Mavericks | 76c | 2,242$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks | 36c | 2,022$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.93 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Warriors | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Mavericks | 36c | 1,999$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Mavericks | 54c | 1,680$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.96 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks | 32c | 1,628$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.04 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Warriors | 68c | 1,600$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 69c | 1,562$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.52 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Warriors | 66c | 1,508$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Warriors | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.95 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 73c | 1,419$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.57 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Mavericks | 73c | 1,405$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.54 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…fe03backed Warriors | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Warriors | 75c | 1,337$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Warriors | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Warriors | 63c | 1,294$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.21 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mavericks | 31c | 1,276$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.06 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Mavericks | 51c | 1,193$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.28 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Warriors | 70c | 1,180$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Warriors | 70c | 1,126$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.48 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Warriors | 59c | 1,119$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Warriors | 37c | 1,100$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.11 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks | 32c | 1,070$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.7 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Warriors | 57c | 1,069$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,055$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.86 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Mavericks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 28c | 1,000$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.23 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…61a9backed Mavericks | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Mavericks | 35c | 999.48$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.66 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Mavericks | 52c | 993.58$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.92 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Warriors | 45c | 992.1$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.67 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Mavericks | 64c | 910.09$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.06 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Warriors | 57c | 899.98$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.59 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Warriors | 67c | 888.77$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.48 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Mavericks | 41c | 876.58$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.34 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 55c | 849.27$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.65 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…865ebacked Warriors | 46c | 834.78$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…69dabacked Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…e6dfbacked Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2d54backed Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…7cabbacked Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…d2e7backed Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc9…4358backed Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…007cbacked Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…0ca9backed Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…4690backed Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…f30fbacked Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…c04fbacked Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…241dbacked Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…1efabacked Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…bd5fbacked Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…a662backed Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…47c9backed Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8830…9bbcbacked Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…d420backed Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…4da3backed Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…3f83backed Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…217cbacked Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…4f71backed Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.01 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…be4fbacked Mavericks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…1a7cbacked Warriors | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Mavericks | 31c | 798.37$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.37 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Warriors | 76c | 789.51$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Warriors | 53c | 748.9$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.48 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Mavericks | 29c | 748.09$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.16 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Mavericks | 41c | 682.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.39 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks | 43c | 669.71$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.73 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Mavericks | 36c | 667$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.88 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 28c | 666$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c8…8089backed Warriors | 26c | 650.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 28c | 647.89$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.48 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.