TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x799c…bcef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
412
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst WNBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT27163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 271 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.05
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,639Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+113%+$2,982.11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$289.56
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.14
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$268.31
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$112.24
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$103.7
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,098.13
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$680.79
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$982.54
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,508.19
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$492.54
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$4,903.23
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$375
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$4,999.38
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,800
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13,805Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40%+$5,520.37
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$897.71
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$939.95
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.05
Showing 25 of 271 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,785Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$3,545.9
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$377
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.96
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$264.28
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$2,063.87
Will Connecticut win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$32.89
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,998Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$1,410.97
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$2,001.33
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,402.27
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,682Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$1,117.38
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$552.81
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,961Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+59.4%+$1,758.12
Arizona vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,914Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$1,861.23
Colorado State vs. Marylandbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Gonzaga vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$313.41
Creighton vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$205.63
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
North Carolina vs. San Diego Statebacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$797.47
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$470.59
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$418.49
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$574.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$452.77
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$632.52
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$793
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$362.07
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,001Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$2,082.65
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,868
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$305
Will West Ham vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+237.7%+$1,057.7
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$190.73
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,892
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$252.2
All 19 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$1,180.15
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$1,187.63
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+55%+$4,950.34
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$435.97
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$714.35
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$760.19
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.08
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.16
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$315.67
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$400.53
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$193.49
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$136.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+51.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$375
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$278.33
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,572Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$3,042.93
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$11,908.31
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$653
Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$407.71
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$320
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$345.51
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$928.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,503.45
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,996Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$894.91
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,300.28
Mercury vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,670Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+82.4%+$2,198.96
Mystics vs Sunbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Sparks vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Fever vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$987.19
Fever vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,298.86
Dream vs Wingsbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,664.56
Mystics vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+45%+$3,300.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$408.45
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,447
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$1,610.99
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+97.6%+$4,011.58
Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$310.69
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,003.73
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+64.9%+$2,723.9
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$2,102.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,584Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$2,059.63
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,029Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+51.1%+$1,036.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$109.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,593Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.1%+$1,080.07
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 Miami Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,538.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,427Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,757.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$213.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.9%+$614.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.