Euroleague · resolved market
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef4a82f24ceccf2dda3ac7d77be676af501f748c879734570bd01c51734c5c2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinof Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, Liaoning Flying Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 75c | 3,204$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.12 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 68c | 2,214$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.35 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4322…eadebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 66c | 1,504$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 33c | 1,220$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 34c | 1,057$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 35c | 992.05$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.14 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 26c | 853.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 32c | 798.56$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 65c | 749.96$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.04 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 25c | 700.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 39c | 669.76$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 37c | 538.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 65c | 525.87$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…de29backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 27c | 400.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 27c | 380.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 3c | 378.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 36c | 331.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…5116backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 40c | 252.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 65c | 202$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…8f45backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 14c | 188.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 13c | 184.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 26c | 157.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 24c | 134.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 32c | 130.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 64c | 121.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0ba0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 24c | 119.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 62c | 110.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 66c | 109.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 66c | 105.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 32c | 92.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 20c | 83.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…85f9backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 33c | 75.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7395…fdeebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 34c | 75.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 66c | 55.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…39dfbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 22c | 54.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 33c | 47.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 33c | 39.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 34c | 39.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 34c | 35.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 77c | 33.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 34c | 33.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…ec12backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 74c | 27.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 76c | 22.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 59c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 62c | 20.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 66c | 15.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.