TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27ee…b517

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
220
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.33
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+99%+$198.04
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.8
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.95
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+93%+$371.93
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$391.03
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$187.35
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.47
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$205.5
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$103.62
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+2.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.58
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$83.88
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.67
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$204.87
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$166.53
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$146.9
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+212.3%+$424.69
Manresa vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.36
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+65%+$130
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.96
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$289.9
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$261.27
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Shanxi Loongs vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$62.42
Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
Shanxi Loongs vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.6
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.65
Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.03
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+439.9%+$418.4
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$96.56
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$106.81
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.68
Beijing Ducks vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.96
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+155.6%+$29.99
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$50.64
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$338.3
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$69.08
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$43.1
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$33.68
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$941.18
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+155.4%+$549.38
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,837Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,385.93
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.1
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.97
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.06
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
All 23 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.04
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.48
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.63
Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$110.07
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.72
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$179.3
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-2.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$265.88
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tausonbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.