TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zhejiang Lionsof Zhejiang Lions, Shenzhen Leopards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf6f2…b422backed Shenzhen Leopards36c6,919$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.472748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Shenzhen Leopards8c6,636$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.0413046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a1…46c5backed Shenzhen Leopards40c5,656$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Zhejiang Lions60c4,893$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.673063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Shenzhen Leopards1c4,561$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.59425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Zhejiang Lions78c4,088$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Shenzhen Leopards12c3,576$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.176116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Shenzhen Leopards36c2,185$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Shenzhen Leopards34c1,816$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.664344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Zhejiang Lions66c1,619$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.0637052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Shenzhen Leopards10c1,578$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.673345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Shenzhen Leopards37c1,336$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.765844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Zhejiang Lions60c1,292$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.73825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shenzhen Leopards45c1,282$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.3143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91dd…2730backed Shenzhen Leopards20c1,186$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Zhejiang Lions64c1,097$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.936747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Shenzhen Leopards45c1,017$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.261030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1570…de29backed Zhejiang Lions63c990.92$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.631942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Shenzhen Leopards12c943.03$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3921535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Zhejiang Lions64c803.74$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Shenzhen Leopards46c791.99$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.931662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162c…d511backed Shenzhen Leopards28c692.95$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Zhejiang Lions63c633.96$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.963154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Zhejiang Lions66c541.32$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18521444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Shenzhen Leopards38c530$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.381546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Shenzhen Leopards38c523.68$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1991540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Shenzhen Leopards8c500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Zhejiang Lions72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404045%18 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Shenzhen Leopards38c497.56$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.071464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Zhejiang Lions66c475.81$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.855642.9%24 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Shenzhen Leopards37c455.08$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.041553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Shenzhen Leopards34c445.59$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.553342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Shenzhen Leopards36c445.34$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Shenzhen Leopards37c442.69$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5726935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Zhejiang Lions64c414.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659f…c105backed Shenzhen Leopards20c390.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.091118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Shenzhen Leopards7c383.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.611598.2%13 W · 146 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Shenzhen Leopards22c371.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.896744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceca…4800backed Shenzhen Leopards57c358$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Zhejiang Lions55c357.64$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.191656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shenzhen Leopards7c343.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.735234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2691…6c3cbacked Zhejiang Lions56c328.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.87875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Shenzhen Leopards39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Zhejiang Lions49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Shenzhen Leopards36c281.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Shenzhen Leopards17c259$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.026450%32 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Zhejiang Lions67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d01…8558backed Shenzhen Leopards29c237.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda1…6a78backed Shenzhen Leopards40c237.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Zhejiang Lions51c194.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdd…cb3fbacked Shenzhen Leopards39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703721.6%8 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58a6…b9debacked Zhejiang Lions64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Shenzhen Leopards14c156.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.423735.1%13 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-44.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Shenzhen Leopards45c155.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Zhejiang Lions64c151.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.595046%23 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Zhejiang Lions63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Zhejiang Lions65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.54245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Zhejiang Lions56c146.04$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.612532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Zhejiang Lions70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb978…1fa3backed Zhejiang Lions71c140.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Shenzhen Leopards38c131.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed Shenzhen Leopards40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Shenzhen Leopards20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Shenzhen Leopards20c124$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82528%7 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Zhejiang Lions71c101.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.415271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Zhejiang Lions66c101$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.03757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Shenzhen Leopards11c100.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4913220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Shenzhen Leopards36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8563…5e98backed Shenzhen Leopards51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3112…3fcdbacked Shenzhen Leopards51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f70…862abacked Shenzhen Leopards51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Shenzhen Leopards39c97.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Shenzhen Leopards18c89.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.522941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed Zhejiang Lions80c85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Zhejiang Lions63c79.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.823943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Zhejiang Lions63c75.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…fa07backed Zhejiang Lions66c75.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Zhejiang Lions68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.48per pick39cpaid+149.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Shenzhen Leopards20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bba…fe34backed Zhejiang Lions71c64.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa3…4899backed Zhejiang Lions65c63.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Shenzhen Leopards45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11a1…8597backed Shenzhen Leopards32c55.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.592259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Shenzhen Leopards45c54.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Zhejiang Lions73c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.581353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Zhejiang Lions63c53.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.876162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4e4…2e8dbacked Shenzhen Leopards35c45.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Zhejiang Lions67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.784557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Shenzhen Leopards35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aab…cf18backed Shenzhen Leopards48c41.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd697…6cd3backed Shenzhen Leopards37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb10a…7e93backed Shenzhen Leopards50c40.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Zhejiang Lions64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5449…3800backed Shenzhen Leopards29c38.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Shenzhen Leopards29c38.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3507…8807backed Shenzhen Leopards34c35.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Zhejiang Lions63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Zhejiang Lions63c31.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.536848.5%33 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Zhejiang Lions70c30.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.954264.3%27 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Zhejiang Lions65c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.651936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.