TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa62a…f05b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$809.21
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$307.19
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$355.93
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$286.17
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.83
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$351.35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,964.13
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$694.87
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.57
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$492.54
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$298.7
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,104.76
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$498.68
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$317.55
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.05
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.89
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$527.03
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,000
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.61
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,734.34
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$1,268.85
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$30.16
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$6,782.88
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,780.87
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,771.95
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15,883Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$8,561.39
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$313.18
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,057Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$383.98
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$332.66
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$241.07
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$263.95
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,566
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$178.35
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,704Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$1,148.52
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$2,125.46
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,479.04
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$64.89
Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$1,076.59
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$1,184.44
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$387.47
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$398.73
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,503.68
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51%+$827.53
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$408.45
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,609Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$794.88
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.87
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$390.69
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$726.04
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$472.06
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,347Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$507.55
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
PortlandFire vs. Seattle Stormbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$253.1
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+30%+$300.38
Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+153.3%+$766.58
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$186.65
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,178.77
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$56.67
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,961Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$722.69
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+50%+$1,200.05
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+97%+$1,898.44
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$887.7
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$260.57
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30%+$150.24
Jiujiang: Hayu Kinoshita vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Hayu Kinoshita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$941.18
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$125
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$612.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$659.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,459Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$683.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.