TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$661,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$607,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1255…dc0fbacked Yes59c74,986$44,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,699.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes36c25,216$8,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,245.654445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes50c22,250$11,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,044.6620538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Yes19c20,606$3,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,694.078341%34 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes35c19,768$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,838.174161%25 W · 16 L+8.3wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0765…8bf9backed Yes59c16,096$9,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,536.62683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+85.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd24b…ef76backed Yes47c13,435$6,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,179.394348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No43c13,410$5,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,808.9934354.8%188 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No55c12,495$6,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,901.3515558.7%91 W · 64 L+0.8wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked No39c11,873$4,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,688.4713334.6%46 W · 87 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9063…3cc8backed Yes52c11,370$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,420.773033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4027…a447backed Yes60c11,223$6,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,489.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No54c10,609$5,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,701.7152850.8%268 W · 260 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7df6…04cebacked Yes25c9,434$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,037.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+1,080.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x435c…170fbacked No48c8,731$4,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,197.24825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes44c8,000$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,473.4514240.8%58 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff9e…56a1backed Yes47c7,763$3,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.586536.9%24 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked No12c7,159$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.8515932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Yes62c7,051$4,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+128.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Yes51c6,500$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.716238.7%24 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+102.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No41c6,481$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66717330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes20c5,896$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,718.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No53c5,615$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.5439952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Yes53c5,499$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed Yes32c5,393$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.258456%47 W · 37 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8d0…4427backed Yes58c5,141$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.822846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f7…5b87backed Yes15c5,119$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,341.23450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+278.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a8b…92c9backed Yes22c4,919$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,847.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+141.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f9…e37dbacked Yes34c4,687$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.511540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Yes34c4,301$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+193.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed Yes59c3,981$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.014742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes40c3,959$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.051650%8 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+138.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0ab…ab2ebacked Yes16c3,928$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,296.521225%3 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+197.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed Yes25c3,858$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.14334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No43c3,691$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.6613243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa414…75c9backed Yes15c3,608$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,068.421421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+239.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked No41c3,473$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.774928.6%14 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No30c3,236$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.184450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be5…c1b3backed No40c3,150$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.757828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf7…0fb8backed Yes25c3,025$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+128.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef0…f55dbacked Yes7c3,000$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.931040%4 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+471.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No67c2,969$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.835258%204 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Yes68c2,953$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.381566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa44…0a39backed Yes35c2,917$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.87633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No41c2,816$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.9110646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked No39c2,693$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.532020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed No50c2,676$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.2513444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfc42…dcbabacked Yes19c2,227$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.96850%4 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+507.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc07b…c247backed Yes29c2,147$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+58.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No61c2,114$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.3513748.2%66 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d5…2c0ebacked Yes9c2,036$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.831435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecaf…90bcbacked Yes60c1,918$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+160.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb95…1c62backed Yes17c1,911$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+80.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f5…65e6backed Yes37c1,890$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No59c1,886$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.9916051.9%83 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32b…626ebacked No40c1,875$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7471233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No3c1,857$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.334440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b6…b99abacked Yes72c1,802$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-53.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Yes41c1,768$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c91…6795backed Yes16c1,738$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.13944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+63.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No58c1,723$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.1112249.2%60 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…8e0ebacked Yes59c1,700$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No56c1,549$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.8416850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No43c1,525$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.0622355.6%124 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Yes38c1,437$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94df…2dcebacked Yes54c1,421$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+131.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3191…0665backed No45c1,406$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No54c1,360$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7836055.3%199 W · 161 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes45c1,332$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.72922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes32c1,309$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.758330.1%25 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…77bdbacked No53c1,257$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.534944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2388…5653backed Yes40c1,252$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.47944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No39c1,242$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.299254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No65c1,192$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.0214954.4%81 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No6c1,191$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.745512.7%7 W · 48 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No29c1,175$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.395932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238a…a504backed Yes46c1,139$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.511330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+245.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f2…5bbebacked Yes16c1,118$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.82728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…9e88backed Yes20c1,117$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.491560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+66.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed Yes40c1,111$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked No40c1,111$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.42955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b6f…246dbacked Yes41c1,100$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes58c1,090$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.45817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No58c1,082$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.2626632.7%87 W · 179 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2d…0211backed Yes40c1,080$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6627…000cbacked Yes68c1,067$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb90b…ca12backed Yes50c1,053$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.611353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No60c1,051$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.815056.7%85 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No61c1,028$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.1516852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes32c1,009$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No48c973.7$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.073562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb9…f414backed Yes24c962.77$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.26757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid+27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be5…a7f8backed Yes16c961.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.731323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+316.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…9ee2backed Yes64c955.96$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.933959%23 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+85.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No59c947.54$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.516051.9%83 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No49c917.68$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.2726355.9%147 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes39c902.77$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.771747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+240.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c5b…a790backed No67c896.28$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.052445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No58c875.56$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6216254.3%88 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No56c862$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.1115954.1%86 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.