TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x835c…a5ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.27
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,053.3
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$8,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,748.56
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,046Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,254
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$3,850
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,978
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,000
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$227.75
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,025.55
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,998
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,938Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,762
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,960
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,094.25
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,984
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,689Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,846.13
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,976.25
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,956
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,428
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,010
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,913Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81%+$4,787
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,620
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$1,424.57
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$357
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,399.94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,741.92
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,050
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+97%+$984.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,537Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,691.52
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,882.35
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,149.97
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$2,664.82
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,963.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+175.8%+$7,089.13
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,995
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,010
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$767.22
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$989
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+677.1%+$10,040.6
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,961Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$3,339
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,540
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.99
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,821.19
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,080
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,205.85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,812.7
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$697
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,037
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$646
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$986
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$731
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$952
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$931
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$944
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$748
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$731
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,952Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,248
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$862.62
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$10,509.65
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.58
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$552.3
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+188.6%+$1,701.63
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+209.9%+$3,862.43
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.33
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,668.9
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,664Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$2,940.21
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,930Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$2,569.1
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$1,022.2
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,138.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$1,621.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,013
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.