MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95be02324f34ab7063ff1a0c755f9caa8391f1eaf9421221e577f2234447a0fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 80,001$47,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,662.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 58,333$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,999.99 | 1,436 | 49.3%708 W · 728 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 42,385$17,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,852.96 | 893 | 49.3%440 W · 453 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 34,149$12,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,392.56 | 988 | 49.9%493 W · 495 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 33,019$8,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,186.22 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 27,011$11,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,280.07 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 21,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 18,968$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,191.29 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 15,312$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,186.94 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 14,238$5,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,381.92 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 11,911$5,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.03 | 239 | 54.4%130 W · 109 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 10,794$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,476.4 | 928 | 54%501 W · 427 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 8,495$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097 | 801 | 47.7%382 W · 419 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 7,733$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.52 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 7,620$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.75 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 6,115$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.8 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 6,073$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.8 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 5,858$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.15 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 4,823$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.51 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 4,812$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.98 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 4,510$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.43 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 4,304$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.4 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 4,145$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.13 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Marlins | 20c | 3,157$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.4 | 1,734 | 50.4%874 W · 860 L | +57.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 3,114$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.27 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 2,800$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.13 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,755$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.77 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 2,645$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.55 | 837 | 42.8%358 W · 479 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 2,550$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.16 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,415$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.84 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 2,325$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.2 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,321$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.9 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 2,226$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.6 | 588 | 52.9%311 W · 277 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 2,159$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.67 | 4,428 | 45.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L | +87.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 2,083$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.8 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +147.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 1,889$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.1 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,837$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.62 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,766$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.62 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,499$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.51 | 1,911 | 44.4%848 W · 1,063 L | -29.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,485$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.14 | 1,415 | 48.9%692 W · 723 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 1,370$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 1,200$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.69 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,089$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.15 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,043$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.52 | 3,465 | 51.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L | +105.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,024$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.16 | 2,319 | 51.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 999.25$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.58 | 307 | 46.9%144 W · 163 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 968.28$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 294 | 51%150 W · 144 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 755.93$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.19 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 703.37$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.12 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 690.41$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.27 | 140 | 65%91 W · 49 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 680.43$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.99 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 655.91$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.87 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 639.66$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 634.24$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.72 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 585$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 1,671 | 49.1%820 W · 851 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 574.14$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 572.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.04 | 2,148 | 51.3%1,102 W · 1,046 L | +50.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 529.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.3 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 952 | 34.3%327 W · 625 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 388 | 33.8%131 W · 257 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…f8c3backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 497.93$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 458.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 391.86$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 369.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 342.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…1b01backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 330$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 320.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.3 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 319.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 307.07$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 596 | 43.1%257 W · 339 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…9c5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 296.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 291$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 273.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 268.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 266.95$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 879 | 48%422 W · 457 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 265$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 252.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 232.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 5,848 | 43.7%2,556 W · 3,292 L | -189.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.