TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff91…f8c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT5653.6%30 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$1,741.54
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,592.01
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,040.83
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,750.94
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,685.21
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,989Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$700.28
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$815.79
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+415.9%+$1,122.86
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$153.5
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,337.14
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$787.46
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$361.67
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jac Caglianone win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.67
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$215.38
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.71
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$64.03
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$286.62
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
All 17 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosiobacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.