WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb72c5261f51aa47efa36fa8e7151c455bf5c34bb8f5befac0acacf26e17b744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 51c | 4,916$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.35 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 4,090$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.09 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 2,547$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.94 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 1,799$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.3 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,471$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.92 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 1,239$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.58 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 48c | 1,007$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.12 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…f8c3backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 73c | 524.97$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.74 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 74c | 465.99$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 76c | 454.73$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 71c | 424.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Over | 58c | 409.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 406.04$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 381$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 64c | 361$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 50c | 330.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.85 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 65c | 311$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 63c | 304.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 51c | 299.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 278.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 70c | 231$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 20c | 214$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 39c | 208.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Under | 13c | 179.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 162.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 160.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 42c | 148.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 50c | 115.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 50c | 113.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 13c | 104.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 95.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 51c | 70.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 69c | 59.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 19c | 56.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…61b5backed Over | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 51c | 46.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Over | 49c | 46.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 44.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…cf59backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…f14cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 38.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 51c | 38.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…f127backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…eca1backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 32c | 37.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 48c | 21.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…d891backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…5149backed Over | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.