WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c108b8ba55796a04408c951eb0069406dc8715315c92f2afb51c57afaee5787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Minnesota Lynx, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 31,914$16,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,001.39 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 13,819$6,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 6,141$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.49 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 2,869$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 2,262$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.12 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 2,009$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.28 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 577.53$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 501.43$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 500.24$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 289.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 238.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 221.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…c996backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 192$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7c…a9b9backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 158.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 118.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 103.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0132…4cc3backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 101.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 99.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 94.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 75.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 61.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 61.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 61.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 56.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 49.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 49.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 47.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 42.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 41.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 35.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 31.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 23.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 19.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.